Sinners vs ECSTATIC (SIN-ECS) result: Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier 2026, 4 Mar 2026

51.8%Win probability before the match48.2%
Map 1SinnerswonMap 2Sinnerswon
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Sinners vs ECSTATIC: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating8 Elo points separate Sinners (1741) and ECSTATIC (1733).
  • Head-to-headSinners 5-5 ECSTATIC in 10 meetings since 2024. Sinners took the previous meeting 2-1 at Parken Challenger Championship Season 1 2026 (). More
  • FormSinners won 5 of their last 10; ECSTATIC won 6 of 10. ECSTATIC come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (52% for the side it leaned to); Sinners took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Sinners vs ECSTATIC: rosters

SinnersElo: #32VRS: #41
beastikIGL
MoDoAWP
SHOCK
Player comparison12 months before this match
58%Win rate58%
31Matches, 12 months53
5/10Last 10 matches6/10
lost 2Current streakwon 2
22Age25
01/2026On the team since01/2026
800eDPI1400
nicoodoz
nicoodozProfile
ECSTATICElo: #295VRS: #350
nicoodozAWP
TMBIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

SinnersTeamECSTATIC
58% (215-155)Map win rate60% (196-130)
21-32Deciding maps won–lost36-24
75%Series wins without dropping a map56%
48 minAverage map length45 min
49%CT-side rounds won48%
59%First half won41%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Sinners vs ECSTATIC: meetings before this one

SinnersSinners5wins5winsECSTATICECSTATIC

10 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Sinners ()

All 10 meetings

Sinners and ECSTATIC: form going into the match

Sinners · 5 of 10 wonECSTATIC · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
170417351766179717441735170417351766179717441735
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LAM Gaming0–2
LWHITEBIRD0–2
WWW Team2–0
Wlos kogutos2–0
Lillwill0–2
LGamerLegion0–2
WECSTATIC2–1
WMASONIC2–1
LPhantom0–1
WECSTATIC1–0
WWW Team2–1
WHyperSpirit2–0
Lillwill1–2
WPhantom2–0
LSinners1–2
WBC.Game Esports2–0
WPhantom1–0
WAvanti Esport1–0
LSinners0–1
LGamerLegion0–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

SinnersWin %ECSTATIC
50%12 mapsLWLWW
Ancient
50%6 mapsWLLWW
55%11 mapsLWWWL
Mirage
75%4 mapsWWLW
45%11 mapsLWLWW
Nuke
0%4 mapsLLLL
64%11 mapsWLWWL
Dust II
0%3 mapsLLL
57%7 mapsWWLLW
Inferno
50%6 mapsWWLLL
50%4 mapsWLLW
Overpass
50%4 mapsLWLW
–
Train
50%4 mapsWLLW
–
Anubis
50%2 mapsWL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA