paiN vs Natus Vincere (paiN-NAVI) result: StarLadder Major Budapest 2025, 5 Dec 2025

29.7%Win probability before the match70.3%
Watch back
StarLadder Major Budapest 2025 · Round 3paiNpaiNpaiNpaiNpaiNNatus VincereNatus VincereNatus VincereVS
REPLAYYouTube · StarLadder CS2 LIVE · EN

Watch each map again

Watch on YouTube · YouTube ↗

paiN vs Natus Vincere: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Dust II48 min▶
paiN
8
CT5:7T3:6
Natus Vincere
13

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

paiN vs Natus Vincere: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating150 Elo points separate paiN (1773) and Natus Vincere (1923).
  • Head-to-headpaiN 0-4 Natus Vincere in 4 meetings since 2024. Natus Vincere took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Pro League Season 21 2025 (). More
  • FormpaiN won 4 of their last 10; Natus Vincere won 6 of 10. Natus Vincere come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Natus Vincere a 70% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

paiN vs Natus Vincere: rosters

paiNElo: #53VRS: #54
biguzeraIGL
dav1deuS
dgt
AWP
Snowzin
Player comparison12 months before this match
47%Win rate59%
47Matches, 12 months39
4/10Last 10 matches6/10
lost 1Current streakwon 1
20Age20
11/2023On the team since11/2023
960eDPI1068
w0nderfulProfile
Natus VincereElo: #8VRS: #34
AleksibIGL
b1t
iM
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

paiNTeamNatus Vincere
44% (77-97)Map win rate57% (90-67)
17-12Deciding maps won–lost14-14
45%Series wins without dropping a map60%
50 minAverage map length49 min
55%CT-side rounds won53%
53%First half won62%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

paiN vs Natus Vincere: meetings before this one

4 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Natus Vincere ()

All 4 meetings

paiN and Natus Vincere: form going into the match

paiN · 4 of 10 wonNatus Vincere · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
173618011865192917681921173618011865192917681921
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LG20–1
W3DMAX1–0
LFURIA0–2
WPassion UA2–0
WTYLOO2–1
LFURIA1–2
LThe MongolZ1–2
WTYLOO2–0
LSpirit0–2
LLegacy1–2
WPARIVISION1–0
LFURIA0–1
WB82–0
WImperial1–0
WFlyQuest1–0
LHeroic1–2
LAstralis1–2
LFURIA2–3
WThe MongolZ2–1
WAurora Gaming2–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

paiNWin %Natus Vincere
62%21 mapsWWWLW
Nuke
45%22 mapsLWLLL
60%15 mapsWLWLW
Inferno
59%17 mapsLLWLL
25%12 mapsLWLLL
Ancient
53%15 mapsWLWWW
42%12 mapsLLWWL
Mirage
67%15 mapsWWWWW
42%19 mapsLWWWL
Dust II
67%6 mapsLWWWL
–
Train
75%12 mapsWWLLW
50%4 mapsWWLL
Anubis
0%2 mapsLL
40%5 mapsLWLWL
Overpass
–

Liquipedia CC BY-SA