MOUZ NXT vs Leo Team (MOUZ.N-Leo) result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #8 season 52 2026, 9 Oct 2026

23.9%Win probability before the match76.1%
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ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #8 season 52 2026 · 3rd Place MatchMOUZ NXTMOUZ NXTMOUZ NXTLeo TeamLeo TeamLeo TeamVS
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MOUZ NXT vs Leo Team: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating133 Elo points separate MOUZ NXT (1479) and Leo Team (1612).
  • Head-to-headMOUZ NXT 3-1 Leo Team in 4 meetings since 2024. MOUZ NXT took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 season 51 2026 (). More
  • FormMOUZ NXT won 5 of their last 10; Leo Team won 6 of 10. Leo Team come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Leo Team a 76% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

MOUZ NXT vs Leo Team: rosters

MOUZ NXTElo: #247VRS: #137
AWP
IGL
Player comparison12 months before this match
43%Win rate52%
99Matches, 12 months91
4/10Last 10 matches6/10
lost 1Current streaklost 2
18Age22
07/2025On the team since06/2026
–eDPI800
next1meProfile
Leo TeamElo: #136VRS: #112
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

MOUZ NXTTeamLeo Team
48% (190-202)Map win rate53% (195-176)
32-35Deciding maps won–lost34-32
52%Series wins without dropping a map55%
46 minAverage map length46 min
47%CT-side rounds won48%
47%First half won45%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

MOUZ NXT vs Leo Team: meetings before this one

4 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to MOUZ NXT ()

All 4 meetings

MOUZ NXT and Leo Team: form going into the match

MOUZ NXT · 5 of 10 wonLeo Team · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
145315131572163114821613145315131572163114821613
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LSaint Sinners1–2
WHyperSpirit2–1
LROUNDS0–2
WSökerorg2–1
WENCE2–1
LLPH Gaming0–2
LGothic0–2
WSINQU Rehti2–0
LSAW0–2
WFaZe Up Next2–1
LJust Players1–2
LBlack Phoenix1–2
WPrivateer Gaming2–0
WEsport BERG2–0
WRyvex2–1
Wex-Zero Tenacity2–1
WENJOY2–1
WPhantom Academy2–1
Lmellren1–3
LNoir Verse0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

MOUZ NXTWin %Leo Team
67%6 mapsWWLLW
Dust II
58%19 mapsWLLWW
33%3 mapsLWL
Nuke
69%13 mapsWWWWW
33%3 mapsLWL
Ancient
42%12 mapsLWLLL
0%1 mapsL
Anubis
23%13 mapsLWLLL
20%5 mapsLLLWL
Mirage
40%5 mapsWLWLL
0%2 mapsLL
Cache
0%2 mapsLL
0%1 mapsL
Overpass
–
–
Inferno
100%1 mapsW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA