Natus Vincere vs Astralis (NAVI-AST) result: PGL Astana 2025, 16 May 2025

70.7%Win probability before the match29.3%
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PGL Astana 2025 · Quarterfinal 2Natus VincereNatus VincereNatus VincereAstralisAstralisAstralisVS
REPLAYYouTube · PGL · EN

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Natus Vincere vs Astralis: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Nuke63 min▶
Natus Vincere
13
CT8:4T4:8OT1 T1:2OT1 CT0:2
Astralis
16
MAP 2Mirage43 min▶
Natus Vincere
13
T10:2CT3:6
Astralis
8
MAP 3Ancient38 min▶
Natus Vincere
6
CT4:8T2:5
Astralis
13

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Natus Vincere vs Astralis: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating101 Elo points separate Natus Vincere (1851) and Astralis (1750).
  • Head-to-headNatus Vincere 3-1 Astralis in 4 meetings since 2024. Natus Vincere took the previous meeting 2-0 at BLAST Premier Bounty Closed Qualifier 2025 (). More
  • FormNatus Vincere won 5 of their last 10; Astralis won 6 of 10. Astralis come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Natus Vincere a 71% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Natus Vincere vs Astralis: rosters

Natus VincereElo: #8VRS: #34
AleksibIGL
b1t
iM
jL
AWP
w0nderfulProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
–Win rate50%
–Matches, 12 months26
–Last 10 matches6/10
–Current streakwon 1
20Age23
11/2023On the team since12/2023
1068eDPI1040
stavn
stavnProfile
AstralisElo: #18VRS: #10
device
HooXiIGL
jabbi
Staehr
stavnAWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Natus VincereTeamAstralis
63% (108-64)Map win rate50% (90-90)
15-8Deciding maps won–lost17-14
64%Series wins without dropping a map51%
48 minAverage map length49 min
50%CT-side rounds won51%
53%First half won48%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Natus Vincere vs Astralis: meetings before this one

4 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Natus Vincere ()

All 4 meetings

Natus Vincere and Astralis: form going into the match

Natus Vincere · 5 of 10 wonAstralis · 6 of 10 won
WAurora Gaming2–0
LThe MongolZ0–2
WBIG2–0
WM802–0
LLiquid1–2
WFlyQuest2–1
LTeam Falcons1–2
WMIBR2–1
LSpirit0–2
LEternal Fire0–2
WVirtus.pro2–1
LSpirit0–2
WpaiN2–0
WODDIK2–1
LB81–2
WBIG2–1
LMetizport1–2
WENCE1–0
WPARIVISION1–0
LOG0–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

Natus VincereWin %Astralis
67%12 mapsWWWLW
Inferno
65%20 mapsLWWWW
72%18 mapsLLWWL
Mirage
42%12 mapsLLWWL
60%10 mapsWWLWL
Ancient
53%17 mapsWLLLW
40%10 mapsWLLLW
Dust II
25%12 mapsWLWLL
33%3 mapsLWL
Nuke
50%12 mapsWLWLW
100%2 mapsWW
Train
40%5 mapsWLWLL
25%4 mapsWLLL
Anubis
–

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