Morningstar vs Rare Atom (MSTAR-RA) result: MaceMedia VOID Cup Spring 2026, 26 Mar 2026

47.6%Win probability before the match52.4%
Map 1Rare AtomwonMap 2Rare AtomwonMap 3MorningstarMorningstarwonMap 4Rare Atomwon
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Morningstar vs Rare Atom: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating9 Elo points separate Morningstar (1630) and Rare Atom (1639).
  • Head-to-headMorningstar 3-1 Rare Atom in 4 meetings since 2024. Morningstar took the previous meeting 2-1 at MaceMedia VOID Cup Spring 2026 (). More
  • FormMorningstar won 5 of their last 10; Rare Atom won 5 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (52% for the side it leaned to); Rare Atom took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Morningstar vs Rare Atom: rosters

MorningstarElo: #143
AWP
IGL
Player comparison12 months before this match
52%Win rate47%
58Matches, 12 months49
5/10Last 10 matches4/10
won 2Current streaklost 1
26Age21
12/2025On the team since–
1120eDPI–
Rare AtomElo: #99VRS: #133
AWP
KazeAWP
SummerIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

MorningstarTeamRare Atom
57% (31-23)Map win rate53% (101-91)
6-1Deciding maps won–lost17-11
57%Series wins without dropping a map55%
47 minAverage map length45 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Morningstar vs Rare Atom: meetings before this one

4 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Morningstar ()

All 4 meetings

Morningstar and Rare Atom: form going into the match

Morningstar · 5 of 10 wonRare Atom · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
160316281652167616321641160316281652167616321641
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WRare Atom2–1
WJust Swing2–0
LThe QUBE Esports1–2
WRare Atom2–1
LBMZ0–2
LLynn Vision0–2
LLynn Vision0–2
WChange The Game2–0
LTYLOO0–2
W100RA1–0
WLast Bullet2–1
LMorningstar1–2
WLast Bullet2–1
LMorningstar1–2
LLynn Vision0–3
WLegion2–0
WLast Bullet2–0
LAlter Ego0–2
LFlyQuest0–2
WDEPO2–0