THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (TdU-GZ) result: PGL Bucharest: Oceanic Closed Qualifier 2026, 26 Feb 2026

84%Win probability before the match16%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating188 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1742) and Ground Zero (1554).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 2-1 Ground Zero in 3 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-1 at ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup 1 season 51 2026 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 10 of their last 10; Ground Zero won 6 of 10. THUNDER dOWNUNDER are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 84% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: rosters

AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz
aliStairProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
83%Win rate63%
46Matches, 12 months32
10/10Last 10 matches8/10
won 14Current streakwon 1
27Age27
11/2025On the team since08/2025
760eDPI800
apocdudProfile
Ground ZeroElo: #147VRS: #136
AWP
damyo

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamGround Zero
86% (42-7)Map win rate52% (57-53)
4-1Deciding maps won–lost12-4
80%Series wins without dropping a map54%
39 minAverage map length45 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: meetings before this one

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

All 3 meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Ground Zero: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 10 of 10 wonGround Zero · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
153116041677175017421558153116041677175017421558
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WAbyssal2–0
WGround Zero2–1
WGround Zero2–0
WSkele2–0
WBBBMBCBS2–0
WRooster2–0
WMindfreak2–0
WUnderground ESC2–0
WRooster2–0
WMcTeam2–1
WMindfreak2–1
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1–2
WMindfreak2–1
WUnderground ESC2–1
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
WMindfreak2–1
WUnderground ESC2–0
LDeep Cross Gaming0–2
WNemesis SEA2–0
LBeyman Esports1–2