Rooster vs Mindfreak (RSTR-MF) result: HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026, 17 Jul 2026

75.2%Win probability before the match24.8%
Map 1MindfreakMindfreakwonMap 2MindfreakMindfreakwon
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Rooster vs Mindfreak: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating127 Elo points separate Rooster (1569) and Mindfreak (1442).
  • Head-to-headRooster 17-7 Mindfreak in 24 meetings since 2024. Rooster took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 51 2026 (). More
  • FormRooster won 7 of their last 10; Mindfreak won 4 of 10. Rooster are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Rooster a 75% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Rooster vs Mindfreak: rosters

RoosterElo: #192VRS: #205
AWP
AWP
SkulL
Player comparison12 months before this match
60%Win rate52%
53Matches, 12 months79
7/10Last 10 matches4/10
lost 1Current streakwon 1
25Age21
02/2020On the team since07/2025
MindfreakElo: #314VRS: #258
IGL
void
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

RoosterTeamMindfreak
58% (115-82)Map win rate54% (97-81)
12-10Deciding maps won–lost10-15
76%Series wins without dropping a map72%
42 minAverage map length43 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Rooster vs Mindfreak: meetings before this one

RoosterRooster17wins7winsMindfreakMindfreakMindfreak

24 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Rooster ()

All 24 meetings

Rooster and Mindfreak: form going into the match

Rooster · 7 of 10 wonMindfreak · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
142114851548161215671442142114851548161215671442
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
WAbyssal1–0
WGround Zero2–1
WDXA Esports2–1
LGround Zero0–2
WDXA Esports2–0
WAbyssal2–1
WMARKandLARRY2–0
LAbyssal1–2
WDing Cuts2–0
WAbyssal2–1
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–1
LArcade Esports1–2
LAbyssal1–2
WTime Waves2–0
LRooster0–2
WMARKandLARRY2–0
LGround Zero1–2
WMARKandLARRY2–0
LArcade Esports1–2