THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (TdU-MF) result: HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026, 17 Jul 2026

79.4%Win probability before the match20.6%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating234 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1667) and Mindfreak (1433).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 8-1 Mindfreak in 9 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-0 at Dfrag Wildcard LAN season 1 2026 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 5 of their last 10; Mindfreak won 4 of 10. THUNDER dOWNUNDER come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 79% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: rosters

AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz
aliStairProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
80%Win rate52%
59Matches, 12 months77
5/10Last 10 matches4/10
lost 3Current streaklost 1
28Age21
11/2025On the team since07/2025
760eDPI–
MindfreakElo: #319VRS: #258
IGL
void
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamMindfreak
71% (87-35)Map win rate55% (95-79)
13-3Deciding maps won–lost9-15
68%Series wins without dropping a map74%
42 minAverage map length43 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: meetings before this one

9 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

All 9 meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Mindfreak: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 5 of 10 wonMindfreak · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
147115571642172716721479147115571642172716721479
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LFlyQuest0–2
LBIG0–1
LB80–1
WMIBR1–0
LSemperFi Esports0–2
LLynn Vision1–2
WKaleido Gaming2–1
WHaunted House2–1
WSemperFi Esports2–0
WAlter Ego2–0
LArcade Esports1–2
LAbyssal1–2
WTime Waves2–0
LRooster0–2
WMARKandLARRY2–0
LGround Zero1–2
WMARKandLARRY2–0
LArcade Esports1–2
LSemperFi Esports0–2
WAbyssal1–0