Liquid vs Astralis (TL-AST) result: IEM Atlanta 2026, 11 May 2026
17.4%Win probability before the match82.6%
Watch back
Watch each map again
Liquid vs Astralis: maps, round scores and veto
Liquid vs Astralis: what the model expected
Quick read
- Rating177 Elo points separate Liquid (1717) and Astralis (1894).
- Head-to-headLiquid 2-1 Astralis in 3 meetings since 2024. Liquid took the previous meeting 2-0 at StarLadder Major Budapest 2025 (). More
- FormLiquid won 3 of their last 10; Astralis won 7 of 10. Astralis are in much better shape. More
- Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 83% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.
Liquid vs Astralis: rosters
Player comparison12 months before this match
| 44% | Win rate | 59% |
|---|---|---|
| 77 | Matches, 12 months | 68 |
| 3/10 | Last 10 matches | 7/10 |
| lost 3 | Current streak | lost 1 |
| 22 | Age | 23 |
| 07/2024 | On the team since | 01/2026 |
| – | eDPI | 1584 |
Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).
Team comparison
LiquidTeamAstralis
46% (78-92)Map win rate51% (102-98)
15-14Deciding maps won–lost19-11
50%Series wins without dropping a map57%
47 minAverage map length47 min
54%CT-side rounds won55%
46%First half won51%
Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0
Liquid vs Astralis: meetings before this one
All 3 meetings
Liquid and Astralis: form going into the match
Liquid · 3 of 10 wonAstralis · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
Elo after each match · oldernewer