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STATE vs G2 Ares (STA-G2.A) result: Hotspawn Showdown Finals 2026, 25 Oct 2026

STATESTATESTATE#117 · Elo 15832G2 AresG2 Ares#171 · Elo 15660
Hotspawn Showdown Finals 2026 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3
53.8%Win probability before the match46.2%
Map 1STATESTATEwonMap 2STATESTATEwon
Watch back
Hotspawn Showdown Finals 2026 · Lower Bracket FinalSTATESTATESTATESTATESTATEG2 AresG2 AresG2 AresVS
REPLAYTwitch · hotspawnesports · EN

STATE vs G2 Ares: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating17 Elo points separate STATE (1583) and G2 Ares (1566).
  • Head-to-headSTATE 2-2 G2 Ares in 4 meetings since 2024. STATE took the previous meeting 2-1 at Hotspawn Showdown Closed Qualifier 2026 (). More
  • FormSTATE won 5 of their last 10; G2 Ares won 4 of 10. STATE come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave STATE a 54% chance.

STATE vs G2 Ares: rosters

STATEElo: #117VRS: #123
Altekz
kwezz
Queenix
AWP
sL1m3Profile
Player comparison12 months before this match
50%Win rate47%
62Matches, 12 months107
6/10Last 10 matches4/10
lost 1Current streakwon 1
20Age19
02/2026On the team since08/2025
600eDPI–
JunymeProfile
G2 AresElo: #171VRS: #129
AWP
IGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

STATETeamG2 Ares
55% (168-140)Map win rate50% (171-168)
29-26Deciding maps won–lost25-29
50%Series wins without dropping a map60%
44 minAverage map length46 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

STATE vs G2 Ares: meetings before this one

STATESTATESTATE2wins2winsG2 AresG2 Ares

4 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to STATE ()

BO3Hotspawn Showdown Closed Qualifier 2026 · Group ASTATESTATESTATE46%22 : 1G2 AresG2 Ares54%1BO3Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier 2026 · Group BSTATESTATESTATE61%00 : 2G2 AresG2 Ares39%2BO3ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 season 51 2026 · PlayoffsSTATESTATESTATE29%00 : 2G2 AresG2 Ares71%2BO3Exort Meteor Season 2 2026 · Group StageSTATESTATESTATE38%22 : 1G2 AresG2 Ares62%1
All 4 meetings

STATE and G2 Ares: form going into the match

STATE · 5 of 10 wonG2 Ares · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
154315651586160715821564154315651586160715821564
Elo after each match · oldernewer
STATESTATESTATESee all
LThe Last Resort1–2
WoverTIME2–0
WMASONIC1–0
LWRAITH PCIFIC1–2
WTeletubisie2–0
LWRAITH PCIFIC1–2
WTeletubisie2–1
LLinx Legacy Esport0–1
LHOTU1–2
WEAC Extra2–1
G2 AresG2 AresSee all
WoverTIME2–0
LThe Last Resort1–2
LILLYRIANS1–2
Wmellren2–1
Lex-66660–2
LBakS eSports1–2
WThe Last Resort2–1
LSangal1–2
LNAVI Junior1–2
WInfinite2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

STATEWin %G2 Ares
–
Dust II
36%14 mapsLLLLW
100%1 mapsW
Inferno
42%12 mapsLWLWL
–
Mirage
44%9 mapsWLLLL
0%1 mapsL
Anubis
50%2 mapsWL
–
Ancient
33%3 mapsWLL
–
Overpass
0%3 mapsLLL
–
Cache
0%2 mapsLL
0%1 mapsL
Nuke
–

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Bracket path

Lower Bracket FinalSTATESTATESTATE2G2 AresG2 Ares0This match
STATE go toGrand Finalvs The Last Resort
G2 Ares knocked out