Marsborne vs Elusive (MARS-ELU) result: FRAG University 2026, 10 Oct 2026

86.6%Win probability before the match13.4%
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FRAG University 2026 · Lower Bracket Round 1 Match 4MarsborneMarsborneMarsborneElusiveElusiveElusiveVS
REPLAYTwitch · fragadelphia · EN

Marsborne vs Elusive: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating210 Elo points separate Marsborne (1686) and Elusive (1476).
  • Head-to-headMarsborne 1-0 Elusive in 1 meeting since 2024. Marsborne took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 season 52 2026 (). More
  • FormMarsborne won 8 of their last 10; Elusive won 5 of 10. Marsborne are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Marsborne a 87% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Marsborne vs Elusive: rosters

MarsborneElo: #73VRS: #116
AWP
ogwizardProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
66%Win rate22%
71Matches, 12 months9
6/10Last 10 matches2/9
lost 1Current streaklost 1
20Age24
04/2026On the team since08/2026
820eDPI520
AustinProfile
ElusiveElo: #281
IGL
Jonji

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

MarsborneTeamElusive
64% (150-85)Map win rate57% (12-9)
12-18Deciding maps won–lost1-0
81%Series wins without dropping a map75%
42 minAverage map length36 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Marsborne vs Elusive: meetings before this one

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–0 to Marsborne ()

The only meeting

Marsborne and Elusive: form going into the match

Marsborne · 8 of 10 wonElusive · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
141915161612170816861475141915161612170816861475
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LDENDELE CS0–1
WWithout a Roof1–0
WLast Dance1–0
WHairy Scary Bandits1–0
LNRG0–1
WMalicious Intent1–0
WLAG Gaming2–1
Wregain2–0
WFarmVille2–0
WDetonate2–0
LLast Dance0–1
WWithout a Roof1–0
LImperial0–1
WCelestial1–0
WMidwest Maniacs1–0
LSportsBetExpert0–2
WNineFly Esports2–0
Lregain0–1
WLan Crasher2–0
LDetonate0–1

Bracket path

Lower Bracket Round 1 Match 4MarsborneMarsborne2ElusiveElusive0This match