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Alliance vs Nexus (ALL-NXS) result: ROG Journey Summer 2026, 13 Jun 2026

AllianceAlliance#55 · Elo 18001NexusNexus#116 · Elo 15612
ROG Journey Summer 2026 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3LAN
89.4%Win probability before the match10.6%
Map 1NexuswonMap 2AlliancewonMap 3Nexuswon
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Alliance vs Nexus: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating239 Elo points separate Alliance (1800) and Nexus (1561).
  • Head-to-headAlliance 2-4 Nexus in 6 meetings since 2024. Nexus took the previous meeting 1-0 at Roman Imperium Cup Season 6 2026 (). More
  • FormAlliance won 6 of their last 10; Nexus won 6 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Alliance a 89% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Alliance vs Nexus: rosters

AllianceElo: #55VRS: #24
bobeksde
eraaAWP
twistIGL
eraa
eraaProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
69%Win rate63%
72Matches, 12 months71
6/10Last 10 matches4/10
won 1Current streakwon 1
24Age23
12/2024On the team since06/2026
600eDPI800
shield
shieldProfile
NexusElo: #116VRS: #111
IGL
shieldAWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AllianceTeamNexus
64% (222-127)Map win rate43% (117-157)
30-22Deciding maps won–lost16-28
67%Series wins without dropping a map58%
48 minAverage map length44 min
54%CT-side rounds won46%
53%First half won40%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Alliance vs Nexus: meetings before this one

AllianceAlliance2wins4winsNexusNexus

6 meetings · Most recent: 1–0 to Nexus ()

BO1Roman Imperium Cup Season 6 2026 · Group DAllianceAlliance80%00 : 1NexusNexus20%1BO3ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 season 50 2025 · PlayoffsAllianceAlliance51%11 : 2NexusNexus49%2BO3CCT Europe Closed Qualifier season 12 2024 · Group DAllianceAlliance57%11 : 2NexusNexus43%2BO3CCT Europe Closed Qualifier season 11 2024 · Group AAllianceAlliance70%22 : 0NexusNexus30%0BO3CCT Europe Closed Qualifier season 8 2024 · Group DAllianceAlliance52%22 : 1NexusNexus48%1
All 6 meetings

Alliance and Nexus: form going into the match

Alliance · 6 of 10 wonNexus · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
147615901705182018011562147615901705182018011562
Elo after each match · oldernewer
AllianceAllianceSee all
WSaab2–0
LSharks0–2
W3DMAX2–1
LFaZe0–2
WEYEBALLERS2–1
WWalczaki2–0
LEYEBALLERS0–2
WWalczaki2–0
LNuclear TigeRES0–2
WLavked2–1
NexusNexusSee all
WPURE2–1
WGatorian1–0
WMinkens finest1–0
WBenjis Anglar1–0
WAtputies1–0
WXCLAN1–0
LInner Circle Esports0–2
LBASEMENT BOYS0–1
Laimclub1–2
LMOUZ NXT0–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AllianceWin %Nexus
57%14 mapsWWLWL
Anubis
33%3 mapsLLW
45%11 mapsWWLLW
Inferno
75%4 mapsWWWL
75%8 mapsLWWWL
Dust II
20%5 mapsLLLWL
67%9 mapsLLWWL
Overpass
0%1 mapsL
38%8 mapsLWLLL
Nuke
–
100%1 mapsW
Ancient
33%6 mapsLLWLL
–
Mirage
0%1 mapsL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA