Nexus vs Alliance (NXS-ALL) result: ROG Journey Summer 2026, 14 Jun 2026

12.5%Win probability before the match87.5%
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ROG Journey Summer 2026 · Lower bracket semifinalNexusNexusNexusAllianceAllianceAllianceVS
REPLAYYouTube · BTN · RO

Nexus vs Alliance: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating219 Elo points separate Nexus (1587) and Alliance (1806).
  • Head-to-headNexus 5-2 Alliance in 7 meetings since 2024. Nexus took the previous meeting 2-1 at ROG Journey Summer 2026 (). More
  • FormNexus won 8 of their last 10; Alliance won 7 of 10. Nexus come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Alliance a 88% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Nexus vs Alliance: rosters

NexusElo: #116VRS: #111
IGL
shieldAWP
shield
shieldProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
64%Win rate70%
74Matches, 12 months76
5/10Last 10 matches7/10
won 1Current streakwon 3
23Age24
06/2026On the team since12/2024
800eDPI600
AllianceElo: #55VRS: #24
bobeksde
eraaAWP
twistIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

NexusTeamAlliance
43% (119-160)Map win rate64% (227-129)
17-28Deciding maps won–lost30-23
56%Series wins without dropping a map68%
44 minAverage map length48 min
46%CT-side rounds won54%
40%First half won53%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Nexus vs Alliance: meetings before this one

NexusNexus5wins2winsAllianceAlliance

7 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Nexus ()

All 7 meetings

Nexus and Alliance: form going into the match

Nexus · 8 of 10 wonAlliance · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
147615901705182015851802147615901705182015851802
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WNoir Verse2–0
LMetizport0–2
WAlliance2–1
WPURE2–1
WGatorian1–0
WMinkens finest1–0
WBenjis Anglar1–0
WAtputies1–0
WXCLAN1–0
LInner Circle Esports0–2
WBASEMENT BOYS2–0
WEsport Academy Copenhagen2–0
W66662–0
LNexus1–2
WSaab2–0
LSharks0–2
W3DMAX2–1
LFaZe0–2
WEYEBALLERS2–1
WWalczaki2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

NexusWin %Alliance
33%3 mapsWLL
Anubis
57%14 mapsLWLWW
75%4 mapsLWWW
Inferno
45%11 mapsWLLWW
20%5 mapsLWLLL
Dust II
75%8 mapsLWWWL
0%1 mapsL
Overpass
67%9 mapsLWWLL
–
Nuke
38%8 mapsLLLWL
33%6 mapsLLWLL
Ancient
100%1 mapsW
0%1 mapsL
Mirage
–

Liquipedia CC BY-SA