Skele vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER result: ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup 1 season 51 2026, 20 Feb 2026

7.4%Win probability before the match92.6%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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Skele vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating280 Elo points separate Skele (1443) and THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1723).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormSkele won 1 of their last 2; THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 10 of 10. THUNDER dOWNUNDER are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 93% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Skele vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: rosters

AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

SkeleTeamTHUNDER dOWNUNDER
60% (3-2)Map win rate85% (34-6)
0-1Deciding maps won–lost3-1
100%Series wins without dropping a map81%
41 minAverage map length39 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Skele and THUNDER dOWNUNDER: form going into the match

Skele · 1 of 2 wonTHUNDER dOWNUNDER · 10 of 10 won
LAbyssal1–2
WLE-LUX Esports2–0
WBBBMBCBS2–0
WRooster2–0
WMindfreak2–0
WUnderground ESC2–0
WRooster2–0
WMcTeam2–1
WMindfreak2–0
WMindfreak2–1
WRooster2–0
WMindfreak2–1