Team Falcons vs Astralis (FAL-AST) result: Esports World Cup 2026, 13 Aug 2026

79.3%Win probability before the match20.7%
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Esports World Cup 2026 · Upper bracket semifinal 1Team FalconsTeam FalconsTeam FalconsAstralisAstralisAstralisVS
REPLAYTwitch · EWC_plus_en · EN

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Team Falcons vs Astralis: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Ancient40 min▶
Team Falcons
13
CT6:6T7:1
Astralis
7
MAP 2Dust II53 min▶
Team Falcons
13
T6:6CT7:5
Astralis
11

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Team Falcons vs Astralis: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating153 Elo points separate Team Falcons (2015) and Astralis (1862).
  • Head-to-headTeam Falcons 3-3 Astralis in 6 meetings since 2024. Team Falcons took the previous meeting 2-0 at IEM Chengdu 2025 (). More
  • FormTeam Falcons won 7 of their last 10; Astralis won 5 of 10. Team Falcons come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Team Falcons a 79% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Team Falcons vs Astralis: rosters

Team FalconsElo: #4VRS: #6
karriganIGL
Kyousuke
m0NESYAWP
NiKo
TeSeS
m0NESY
m0NESYProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
73%Win rate56%
75Matches, 12 months85
8/10Last 10 matches5/10
won 2Current streaklost 1
21Age23
04/2025On the team since01/2026
800eDPI1584
AstralisElo: #18VRS: #10
HooXiIGL
jabbi
phzyAWP
Staehr

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Team FalconsTeamAstralis
63% (113-65)Map win rate49% (92-95)
21-6Deciding maps won–lost18-11
58%Series wins without dropping a map54%
50 minAverage map length47 min
55%CT-side rounds won56%
60%First half won53%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Team Falcons vs Astralis: meetings before this one

6 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Team Falcons ()

All 6 meetings

Team Falcons and Astralis: form going into the match

Team Falcons · 7 of 10 wonAstralis · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
182618941963203120091858182618941963203120091858
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WK271–0
L100 Thieves1–2
WFURIA3–0
WSpirit2–1
WVitality2–1
WNatus Vincere2–1
WMonte2–1
LBetBoom Team0–2
WG22–1
LLegacy1–3
WMIBR1–0
LMOUZ1–2
WpaiN2–1
WHOTU2–1
LHeroic0–2
LHOTU0–2
WFOKUS2–1
WTeam Nemesis2–1
LpaiN0–2
LTYLOO0–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

Team FalconsWin %Astralis
58%26 mapsWWWLW
Dust II
31%16 mapsLLWLL
55%20 mapsLWLLW
Mirage
53%15 mapsLWLWW
67%15 mapsWWLWL
Ancient
83%18 mapsWWWWL
75%8 mapsWWWLW
Nuke
43%14 mapsLLLLL
50%10 mapsWLWLW
Inferno
75%8 mapsWWWLW
–
Overpass
46%13 mapsLLLWW
88%8 mapsWWWWL
Anubis
–
–
Cache
100%2 mapsWW

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