Astralis vs NIP (AST-NIP) result: Esports World Cup 2026, 16 Aug 2026

53.6%Win probability before the match46.4%
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Esports World Cup 2026 · Lower bracket semifinal 2AstralisAstralisAstralisNIPNIPNIPNIPNIPVS
REPLAYTwitch · EWC_plus_en · EN

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Astralis vs NIP: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Nuke33 min▶
Astralis
13
CT9:3T4:0
NIP
3
MAP 2Inferno50 min▶
Astralis
10
T5:7CT5:6
NIP
13
MAP 3Cache45 min▶
Astralis
13
CT7:5T6:2
NIP
7

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Astralis vs NIP: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating17 Elo points separate Astralis (1858) and NIP (1841).
  • Head-to-headAstralis 2-2 NIP in 4 meetings since 2024. NIP took the previous meeting 1-0 at StarLadder Major Budapest 2025 (). More
  • FormAstralis won 5 of their last 10; NIP won 5 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 54% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Astralis vs NIP: rosters

AstralisElo: #19VRS: #10
HooXiIGL
jabbi
phzyAWP
Staehr
Player comparison12 months before this match
56%Win rate50%
85Matches, 12 months30
5/10Last 10 matches5/10
lost 1Current streakwon 1
23Age24
01/2026On the team since04/2026
1584eDPI1040
stavn
stavnProfile
NIPElo: #12VRS: #18
sjuush
Snappi
stavnAWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AstralisTeamNIP
49% (92-95)Map win rate53% (100-87)
18-11Deciding maps won–lost12-19
54%Series wins without dropping a map67%
47 minAverage map length48 min
56%CT-side rounds won54%
51%First half won51%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Astralis vs NIP: meetings before this one

AstralisAstralis2wins2winsNIPNIPNIP

4 meetings · Most recent: 1–0 to NIP ()

All 4 meetings

Astralis and NIP: form going into the match

Astralis · 5 of 10 wonNIP · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
179018231855188818571837179018231855188818571837
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LTeam Falcons0–2
WMIBR1–0
LMOUZ1–2
WpaiN2–1
WHOTU2–1
LHeroic0–2
LHOTU0–2
WFOKUS2–1
WTeam Nemesis2–1
LpaiN0–2
WBetBoom Team2–0
LLegacy0–1
Lmagic0–2
LpaiN0–2
WHeroic2–1
WECHO2–0
W100 Thieves2–1
WM802–0
LK271–2
LHeroic1–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AstralisWin %NIP
78%18 mapsWWWWL
Ancient
37%19 mapsWLLLW
38%13 mapsLLLLL
Nuke
77%22 mapsWLLWW
29%17 mapsLWLLL
Dust II
42%12 mapsLLLLW
54%13 mapsWWLWL
Mirage
43%14 mapsLWWLW
45%11 mapsWWLLL
Overpass
50%4 mapsWLWL
–
Anubis
50%12 mapsWLLWL
75%8 mapsWLWWW
Inferno
100%3 mapsWWW
100%2 mapsWW
Cache
0%1 mapsL

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