paiN vs Astralis (paiN-AST) result: BLAST Bounty Summer 2026, 31 Jul 2026

43.9%Win probability before the match56.1%
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BLAST Bounty Summer 2026 · Quarterfinal 1paiNpaiNpaiNpaiNpaiNAstralisAstralisAstralisVS
REPLAYYouTube · Polex · PT

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paiN vs Astralis: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Nuke53 min▶
paiN
13
T6:6CT7:4
Astralis
10
MAP 2Inferno95 min▶
paiN
17
CT4:8T8:4OT1 T0:3OT1 CT3:0OT2 CT1:2OT2 T1:2
Astralis
19
MAP 3Mirage63 min▶
paiN
14
CT5:7T7:5OT1 T1:2OT1 CT1:2
Astralis
16

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paiN vs Astralis: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating28 Elo points separate paiN (1806) and Astralis (1834).
  • Head-to-headpaiN 3-4 Astralis in 7 meetings since 2024. paiN took the previous meeting 2-0 at IEM Cologne Major 2026 (). More
  • FormpaiN won 6 of their last 10; Astralis won 4 of 10. paiN come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 56% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

paiN vs Astralis: rosters

paiNElo: #54VRS: #54
biguzeraIGL
AWP
Snowzin
vsm
saffeeProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
48%Win rate57%
21Matches, 12 months81
6/10Last 10 matches4/10
won 2Current streakwon 1
31Age23
05/2026On the team since01/2026
800eDPI1584
AstralisElo: #19VRS: #10
HooXiIGL
jabbi
phzyAWP
Staehr

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

paiNTeamAstralis
51% (83-81)Map win rate50% (92-93)
16-9Deciding maps won–lost18-10
53%Series wins without dropping a map55%
50 minAverage map length47 min
51%CT-side rounds won57%
49%First half won52%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

paiN vs Astralis: meetings before this one

paiNpaiNpaiN3wins4winsAstralisAstralis

7 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to paiN ()

All 7 meetings

paiN and Astralis: form going into the match

paiN · 6 of 10 wonAstralis · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
176218101857190518041837176218101857190518041837
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WNIP2–0
WGentle Mates2–0
L3DMAX0–2
LPhantom1–2
LSharks0–2
Wlargadosypelados2–1
WMETANOIA WOLVES2–0
LMonte0–2
WAstralis2–0
WFlyQuest2–0
WHOTU2–1
LHeroic0–2
LHOTU0–2
WFOKUS2–1
WTeam Nemesis2–1
LpaiN0–2
LTYLOO0–1
L9z0–1
WGamerLegion1–0
LGamerLegion0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

paiNWin %Astralis
63%16 mapsWWLWW
Nuke
44%16 mapsLLLLL
45%11 mapsWLWLW
Mirage
44%16 mapsLWWLL
27%11 mapsWWLWL
Dust II
31%16 mapsLWLLW
38%8 mapsWWLLW
Overpass
56%16 mapsLLLWW
–
Ancient
83%18 mapsWWWLW
57%7 mapsWWLLW
Inferno
67%6 mapsWLWLW
60%5 mapsLWLWW
Anubis
–
–
Cache
100%2 mapsWW

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