THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (TdU-MF) result: CCT Oceania Series #4 season 3 2026, 28 Feb 2026

83.7%Win probability before the match16.3%
Map 1MindfreakMindfreakwonMap 2MindfreakMindfreakwonMap 3MindfreakMindfreakwon
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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating147 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1739) and Mindfreak (1592).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 7-0 Mindfreak in 7 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-0 at PGL Bucharest: Oceanic Closed Qualifier 2026 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 9 of their last 10; Mindfreak won 6 of 10. THUNDER dOWNUNDER are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 84% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: rosters

AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz
aliStairProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
82%Win rate38%
51Matches, 12 months26
9/10Last 10 matches4/10
lost 1Current streaklost 1
27Age20
11/2025On the team since–
760eDPI–
74LORProfile
MindfreakElo: #319VRS: #258
IGL
void

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamMindfreak
83% (50-10)Map win rate54% (98-83)
5-1Deciding maps won–lost9-15
79%Series wins without dropping a map73%
39 minAverage map length43 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: meetings before this one

7 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

All 7 meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Mindfreak: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 9 of 10 wonMindfreak · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
155216271701177617391590155216271701177617391590
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LThe Huns Esports0–2
WGround Zero2–1
WMindfreak2–0
WMindfreak2–0
WGround Zero2–0
WAbyssal2–0
WGround Zero2–1
WGround Zero2–0
WSkele2–0
WBBBMBCBS2–0
WGround Zero2–0
WAbyssal2–1
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
WAbyssal2–0
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
WAbyssal2–0
LGround Zero1–2
LGround Zero1–2
WSkele2–0
WBBBMBCBS2–0