THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (TdU-MF) result: PGL Bucharest: Oceanic Closed Qualifier 2026, 26 Feb 2026

83.2%Win probability before the match16.8%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating181 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1750) and Mindfreak (1569).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 5-0 Mindfreak in 5 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-0 at Dfrag Open Series #3 2026 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 10 of their last 10; Mindfreak won 5 of 10. THUNDER dOWNUNDER are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 83% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: rosters

AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz
aliStairProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
83%Win rate40%
47Matches, 12 months25
10/10Last 10 matches5/10
won 15Current streakwon 1
27Age20
11/2025On the team since–
760eDPI–
74LORProfile
MindfreakElo: #319VRS: #258
IGL
void

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamMindfreak
86% (44-7)Map win rate54% (92-78)
4-1Deciding maps won–lost8-15
81%Series wins without dropping a map74%
38 minAverage map length44 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: meetings before this one

5 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

All 5 meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Mindfreak: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 10 of 10 wonMindfreak · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
155216211690175817501571155216211690175817501571
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WGround Zero2–0
WAbyssal2–0
WGround Zero2–1
WGround Zero2–0
WSkele2–0
WBBBMBCBS2–0
WRooster2–0
WMindfreak2–0
WUnderground ESC2–0
WRooster2–0
WAbyssal2–0
LGround Zero1–2
LGround Zero1–2
WSkele2–0
WBBBMBCBS2–0
WUnderground ESC2–1
LGround Zero1–2
WTime Waves2–0
LRooster1–2
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2