The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere (MGLZ-NAVI) result: IEM Cologne 2025, 1 Aug 2025

61.2%Win probability before the match38.8%
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The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Inferno97 min▶
The MongolZ
18
CT8:4T4:8OT1 T1:2OT1 CT2:1OT2 CT0:3OT2 T3:0OT3 T0:3OT3 CT0:1
Natus Vincere
22
MAP 2Ancient35 min▶
The MongolZ
6
T1:11CT5:2
Natus Vincere
13

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating53 Elo points separate The MongolZ (1904) and Natus Vincere (1851).
  • Head-to-headThe MongolZ 2-3 Natus Vincere in 5 meetings since 2024. The MongolZ took the previous meeting 2-0 at PGL Astana 2025 (). More
  • FormThe MongolZ won 7 of their last 10; Natus Vincere won 6 of 10. The MongolZ come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave The MongolZ a 61% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: rosters

The MongolZElo: #17VRS: #49
AWP
bLitzIGL
AWP
Techno
Player comparison12 months before this match
64%Win rate60%
11Matches, 12 months10
7/10Last 10 matches6/10
lost 1Current streakwon 2
23Age20
08/2023On the team since11/2023
–eDPI1068
w0nderfulProfile
Natus VincereElo: #8VRS: #34
AleksibIGL
b1t
iM
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

The MongolZTeamNatus Vincere
61% (112-71)Map win rate61% (101-65)
13-12Deciding maps won–lost15-9
69%Series wins without dropping a map61%
48 minAverage map length49 min
52%CT-side rounds won50%
56%First half won58%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: meetings before this one

5 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to The MongolZ ()

All 5 meetings

The MongolZ and Natus Vincere: form going into the match

The MongolZ · 7 of 10 wonNatus Vincere · 6 of 10 won
LVitality0–2
WTeam Falcons2–0
W3DMAX2–0
LVitality1–2
WpaiN2–0
WFaZe2–0
WG22–0
LFaZe0–2
WLynn Vision1–0
WLiquid1–0
WFaZe2–0
WNIP2–1
LMOUZ0–2
WFaZe2–1
LVitality0–2
WG22–1
LSpirit0–2
W3DMAX1–0
WNemiga1–0
LAstralis1–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

The MongolZWin %Natus Vincere
67%27 mapsWWWWL
Mirage
65%20 mapsLWLWW
56%18 mapsLLLLL
Inferno
73%15 mapsWWWWW
63%19 mapsWWLWW
Ancient
50%10 mapsWLLLW
60%15 mapsWWWLW
Dust II
29%7 mapsWLLLW
47%15 mapsLWLWW
Anubis
17%6 mapsLLLLL
55%11 mapsLWLWW
Nuke
29%7 mapsLLWLL
–
Train
80%5 mapsWLWWW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Bracket path

Quarterfinal 2The MongolZThe MongolZ0Natus VincereNatus Vincere2This match