Astralis vs paiN (AST-paiN) result: IEM Krakow 2026, 28 Jan 2026

AstralisAstralis#18 · Elo 17562paiNpaiNpaiN#53 · Elo 17200
IEM Krakow 2026 · Play-InMatch overBO3LAN
57.6%Win probability before the match42.4%
Watch back
No VOD found for this match yet. Pick a channel above to look for it there.

Watch each map again

Watch on YouTube · YouTube ↗

Astralis vs paiN: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Dust II52 min▶
Astralis
13
CT6:6T7:4
paiN
10
MAP 2Overpass48 min▶
Astralis
13
T8:4CT5:3
paiN
7

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Astralis vs paiN: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating36 Elo points separate Astralis (1756) and paiN (1720).
  • Head-to-headAstralis 3-2 paiN in 5 meetings since 2024. paiN took the previous meeting 2-0 at FISSURE PLAYGROUND Season 2 2025 (). More
  • FormAstralis won 4 of their last 10; paiN won 4 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 58% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Astralis vs paiN: rosters

AstralisElo: #18VRS: #10
HooXiIGL
jabbi
phzyAWP
Staehr
Player comparison12 months before this match
57%Win rate45%
35Matches, 12 months51
6/10Last 10 matches4/10
lost 1Current streaklost 1
23Age21
01/2026On the team since11/2023
1584eDPI960
paiNElo: #53VRS: #54
biguzeraIGL
AWP
Snowzin
vsm

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AstralisTeampaiN
50% (103-105)Map win rate43% (71-96)
22-13Deciding maps won–lost15-10
49%Series wins without dropping a map48%
49 minAverage map length50 min
52%CT-side rounds won58%
38%First half won57%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Astralis vs paiN: meetings before this one

AstralisAstralis3wins2winspaiNpaiNpaiN

5 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to paiN ()

All 5 meetings

Astralis and paiN: form going into the match

Astralis · 4 of 10 wonpaiN · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
169517371778182017681703169517371778182017681703
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LPARIVISION0–2
Wfnatic2–1
LLiquid0–2
WAurora Gaming2–1
WFlyQuest2–0
LM800–1
LNIP0–1
LVitality1–2
LTeam Falcons0–2
WThe MongolZ2–0
LHeroic0–2
WBetBoom Team2–0
LB80–2
LNatus Vincere0–1
LG20–1
W3DMAX1–0
LFURIA0–2
WPassion UA2–0
WTYLOO2–1
LFURIA1–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AstralisWin %paiN
57%21 mapsLWLLL
Nuke
63%16 mapsLWWLW
33%15 mapsLWWLL
Mirage
50%10 mapsLWLWW
46%13 mapsLWWWL
Inferno
56%9 mapsWLWLW
60%10 mapsLWLWL
Ancient
22%9 mapsLLLLW
0%4 mapsLLLL
Dust II
33%12 mapsLLLWW
50%10 mapsLWLWW
Overpass
40%5 mapsLWLWL
33%6 mapsWLLLW
Train
–

Liquipedia CC BY-SA