Astralis vs paiN (AST-paiN) result: IEM Krakow 2026, 28 Jan 2026
57.6%Win probability before the match42.4%
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Astralis vs paiN: maps, round scores and veto
Astralis vs paiN: what the model expected
Quick read
- Rating36 Elo points separate Astralis (1756) and paiN (1720).
- Head-to-headAstralis 3-2 paiN in 5 meetings since 2024. paiN took the previous meeting 2-0 at FISSURE PLAYGROUND Season 2 2025 (). More
- FormAstralis won 4 of their last 10; paiN won 4 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
- Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 58% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.
Astralis vs paiN: rosters
Team comparison
AstralisTeampaiN
50% (103-105)Map win rate43% (71-96)
22-13Deciding maps won–lost15-10
49%Series wins without dropping a map48%
49 minAverage map length50 min
52%CT-side rounds won58%
38%First half won57%
Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0
Astralis vs paiN: meetings before this one
BO3FISSURE PLAYGROUND Season 2 2025 · Group Stage
Astralis71%00 : 2
paiN29%2BO3IEM Cologne 2025 · Play-In
Astralis69%22 : 1
paiN31%1BO3PGL Astana 2025 · Group Stage
Astralis67%22 : 0
paiN33%0BO3PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 · Group Stage
Astralis45%11 : 2
paiN55%2BO3IEM Katowice 2025 · Play-in
Astralis37%22 : 0
paiN63%0
Astralis and paiN: form going into the match
Astralis · 4 of 10 wonpaiN · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
Elo after each match · oldernewer









