Morningstar vs Rare Atom (MSTAR-RA) result: IEM Beijing: Asian Open Qualifier 2026, 24 Aug 2026

46.2%Win probability before the match53.8%
Map 1Rare AtomwonMap 2Rare Atomwon
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Morningstar vs Rare Atom: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating18 Elo points separate Morningstar (1578) and Rare Atom (1596).
  • Head-to-headMorningstar 3-2 Rare Atom in 5 meetings since 2024. Rare Atom took the previous meeting 3-1 at MaceMedia VOID Cup Spring 2026 (). More
  • FormMorningstar won 4 of their last 10; Rare Atom won 5 of 10. Rare Atom come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Rare Atom a 54% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Morningstar vs Rare Atom: rosters

MorningstarElo: #143
AWP
Freeman
IGL
fineshineProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
60%Win rate56%
25Matches, 12 months45
7/10Last 10 matches6/10
lost 1Current streakwon 2
21Age21
08/2026On the team since04/2026
Rare AtomElo: #98VRS: #133
AWP
SummerIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

MorningstarTeamRare Atom
55% (32-26)Map win rate56% (99-79)
6-1Deciding maps won–lost19-13
57%Series wins without dropping a map48%
46 minAverage map length46 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Morningstar vs Rare Atom: meetings before this one

5 meetings · Most recent: 3–1 to Rare Atom ()

All 5 meetings

Morningstar and Rare Atom: form going into the match

Morningstar · 4 of 10 wonRare Atom · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
157916121644167616201595157916121644167616201595
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LRare Atom1–3
WRare Atom2–1
WJust Swing2–0
LThe QUBE Esports1–2
WRare Atom2–1
LBMZ0–2
LLynn Vision0–2
LLynn Vision0–2
WChange The Game2–0
LTYLOO0–2
WVitalem Aerem2–1
WThe Huns Esports2–0
LGround Zero1–2
L5star1–2
LTYLOO1–2
WThe QUBE Esports2–0
WKaleido Gaming2–1
WLegion2–0
LJust Swing1–2
LTYLOO0–2