Nemiga vs Alliance (NEMI-ALL) result: Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026, 2 Oct 2026

77.7%Win probability before the match22.3%
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Nemiga vs Alliance: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Cache38 min
Nemiga
13
T7:5CT6:1
Alliance
6
MAP 2Ancient43 min
Nemiga
13
T9:3CT4:5
Alliance
8

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Nemiga vs Alliance: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating142 Elo points separate Nemiga (1937) and Alliance (1795).
  • Head-to-headNemiga 3-0 Alliance in 3 meetings since 2024. Nemiga took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 season 50 2025 (). More
  • FormNemiga won 9 of their last 10; Alliance won 4 of 10. Nemiga are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Nemiga a 78% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Nemiga vs Alliance: rosters

NemigaElo: #10VRS: #14
AWP
Player comparison12 months before this match
73%Win rate68%
96Matches, 12 months99
9/10Last 10 matches4/10
won 5Current streaklost 1
22Age25
11/2024On the team since12/2024
760eDPI600
AllianceElo: #59VRS: #24
bobeksde
eraaAWP
twistIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

NemigaTeamAlliance
62% (242-147)Map win rate64% (170-97)
41-27Deciding maps won–lost23-14
60%Series wins without dropping a map67%
46 minAverage map length47 min
60%CT-side rounds won52%
64%First half won39%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Nemiga vs Alliance: meetings before this one

NemigaNemiga3wins0winsAllianceAlliance

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Nemiga ()

All 3 meetings

Nemiga and Alliance: form going into the match

Nemiga · 9 of 10 wonAlliance · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
175218201888195619481802175218201888195619481802
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WFaZe2–0
WBET-M 332–0
WFOKUS2–0
WColor2–1
LBlack Phoenix1–2
WINOX Division2–0
WJust Players2–0
WTeam Nemesis3–1
WCYBERSHOKE Esports2–0
WBET-M 332–1
WAstralis2–1
L3DMAX0–2
LSinners1–2
LMIBR0–2
Wmagic2–0
WTYLOO2–0
LLegacy0–2
WFaZe2–0
LTeletubisie0–2
LPhantom Academy1–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

NemigaWin %Alliance
71%7 mapsWLLWW
Ancient
67%9 mapsLWWWL
50%6 mapsWLLWL
Dust II
17%6 mapsLLLLW
–
Inferno
67%12 mapsWLWLW
100%5 mapsWWWWW
Anubis
33%3 mapsLWL
50%2 mapsLW
Nuke
33%6 mapsWWLLL
57%7 mapsLLWWW
Mirage
–
100%3 mapsWWW
Cache
0%2 mapsLL
67%3 mapsWWL
Overpass
–

Liquipedia CC BY-SA