Luminosity vs Astralis (LG-AST) result: Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026, 4 Oct 2026
31.8%Win probability before the match68.2%
Watch back
Luminosity vs Astralis: maps, round scores and veto
Luminosity vs Astralis: what the model expected
Quick read
- Rating88 Elo points separate Luminosity (1750) and Astralis (1838).
- Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
- FormLuminosity won 7 of their last 10; Astralis won 6 of 10. Luminosity come in slightly sharper. More
- Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 68% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.
Luminosity vs Astralis: rosters
LuminosityElo: #67VRS: #16
Player comparison12 months before this match
| 59% | Win rate | 56% |
|---|---|---|
| 88 | Matches, 12 months | 86 |
| 7/10 | Last 10 matches | 6/10 |
| lost 1 | Current streak | won 3 |
| 27 | Age | 24 |
| 07/2026 | On the team since | 01/2026 |
| 820 | eDPI | 1584 |
Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).
Team comparison
LuminosityTeamAstralis
50% (20-20)Map win rate51% (97-94)
4-2Deciding maps won–lost21-12
43%Series wins without dropping a map49%
48 minAverage map length48 min
49%CT-side rounds won55%
38%First half won52%
Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0
Luminosity and Astralis: form going into the match
Luminosity · 7 of 10 wonAstralis · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
Elo after each match · oldernewer