Astralis vs Alliance (AST-ALL) result: Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026, 1 Oct 2026
56.6%Win probability before the match43.4%
Watch back
Astralis vs Alliance: maps, round scores and veto
Astralis vs Alliance: what the model expected
Quick read
- Rating30 Elo points separate Astralis (1821) and Alliance (1791).
- Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
- FormAstralis won 5 of their last 10; Alliance won 4 of 10. Astralis come in slightly sharper. More
- Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 57% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.
Astralis vs Alliance: rosters
Player comparison12 months before this match
| 54% | Win rate | 68% |
|---|---|---|
| 83 | Matches, 12 months | 98 |
| 5/10 | Last 10 matches | 5/10 |
| lost 2 | Current streak | won 1 |
| 24 | Age | 25 |
| 01/2026 | On the team since | 12/2024 |
| 1584 | eDPI | 600 |
Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).
Team comparison
AstralisTeamAlliance
50% (92-93)Map win rate64% (168-96)
20-11Deciding maps won–lost22-14
49%Series wins without dropping a map68%
47 minAverage map length47 min
55%CT-side rounds won51%
45%First half won42%
Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0
Astralis and Alliance: form going into the match
Astralis · 5 of 10 wonAlliance · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
Elo after each match · oldernewer