Astralis vs fnatic (AST-FNC) result: Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026, 3 Oct 2026
52.7%Win probability before the match47.3%
Watch back
Astralis vs fnatic: maps, round scores and veto
Astralis vs fnatic: what the model expected
Quick read
- Rating13 Elo points separate Astralis (1820) and fnatic (1807).
- Head-to-headAstralis 24-10 fnatic in 34 meetings since 2024. Astralis took the previous meeting 2-1 at BLAST Bounty Winter 2026 (). More
- FormAstralis won 6 of their last 10; fnatic won 6 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
- Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 53% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.
Astralis vs fnatic: rosters
Player comparison12 months before this match
| 56% | Win rate | 58% |
|---|---|---|
| 86 | Matches, 12 months | 97 |
| 6/10 | Last 10 matches | 6/10 |
| won 3 | Current streak | lost 1 |
| 24 | Age | 21 |
| 01/2026 | On the team since | 03/2025 |
| 1584 | eDPI | 800 |
Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).
Team comparison
AstralisTeamfnatic
50% (95-96)Map win rate58% (148-106)
21-12Deciding maps won–lost20-22
48%Series wins without dropping a map66%
48 minAverage map length48 min
54%CT-side rounds won59%
50%First half won64%
Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0
Astralis vs fnatic: meetings before this one
BO3BLAST Bounty Winter 2026 · Qualifier
Astralis56%22 : 1
fnatic44%1BO3ESL Pro League Season 20 2024 · Group CAstralis57%11 : 2fnatic43%2BO3Elisa Masters Espoo 2022 · PlayoffsAstralis51%00 : 2fnatic49%2BO1Elisa Masters Espoo 2022 · Group BAstralis53%00 : 1fnatic47%1BO3IEM Katowice XVI 2022 · Group BAstralis59%22 : 1fnatic41%1
Astralis56%22 : 1fnatic44%1BO3ESL Pro League Season 20 2024 · Group CAstralis57%11 : 2fnatic43%2BO3Elisa Masters Espoo 2022 · PlayoffsAstralis51%00 : 2fnatic49%2BO1Elisa Masters Espoo 2022 · Group BAstralis53%00 : 1fnatic47%1BO3IEM Katowice XVI 2022 · Group BAstralis59%22 : 1fnatic41%1Astralis and fnatic: form going into the match
Astralis · 6 of 10 wonfnatic · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
Elo after each match · oldernewer