Luminosity vs HOTU (LG-HOTU) result: Tesla Cup 2026, 27 Oct 2026

LuminosityLuminosity#67 · Elo 17510HOTUHOTUHOTU#30 · Elo 17912
Tesla Cup 2026 · Group BMatch overBO3LAN
41.3%Win probability before the match58.7%
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Tesla Cup 2026LuminosityLuminosityLuminosityHOTUHOTUHOTUHOTUHOTUVS
REPLAYYouTube · cs2.Streams · EN

Luminosity vs HOTU: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating40 Elo points separate Luminosity (1751) and HOTU (1791).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormLuminosity won 5 of their last 10; HOTU won 5 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave HOTU a 59% chance.

Luminosity vs HOTU: rosters

LuminosityElo: #67VRS: #16
afroAWP
IGL
Rainwaker
Player comparison12 months before this match
57%Win rate67%
81Matches, 12 months102
5/10Last 10 matches5/10
lost 4Current streaklost 2
27Age24
07/2026On the team since07/2025
820eDPI800
frontalesProfile
HOTUElo: #30VRS: #31
AWP
n0rb3r7

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

LuminosityTeamHOTU
46% (22-26)Map win rate61% (169-106)
4-4Deciding maps won–lost28-20
43%Series wins without dropping a map62%
48 minAverage map length46 min
51%CT-side rounds won55%
33%First half won63%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Luminosity and HOTU: form going into the match

Luminosity · 5 of 10 wonHOTU · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
167417231771182017151793167417231771182017151793
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LBBL0–2
LNexus1–2
LAstralis1–2
LNemiga0–2
WBIG2–1
WB82–0
L3DMAX2–3
WB82–0
WBBL2–0
WNIP1–0
Lfnatic0–2
LAstralis1–2
Wfnatic2–0
Lfnatic1–2
WAcend2–0
WSTATE2–1
LTeam Nemesis1–2
WBlack Phoenix2–1
WREFRESHER2–0
LBlack Phoenix0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

LuminosityWin %HOTU
80%5 mapsLWWWW
Ancient
55%11 mapsLLWLW
33%6 mapsLLWLL
Nuke
56%9 mapsLLWLW
0%4 mapsLLLL
Dust II
55%11 mapsLWWLL
25%4 mapsLWLL
Cache
50%6 mapsWLWLW
83%6 mapsWWWWW
Mirage
100%3 mapsWWW
43%7 mapsLWWWL
Inferno
–
–
Anubis
75%4 mapsLWWW
–
Overpass
0%1 mapsL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Bracket path