HOTU vs Astralis (HOTU-AST) result: Stake Pulse Beat III 2026, 14 Oct 2026

35.3%Win probability before the match64.7%
Watch back
Stake Pulse Beat III 2026 · Winners' MatchHOTUHOTUHOTUHOTUHOTUAstralisAstralisAstralisVS
REPLAYYouTube · Follow ESports · EN

HOTU vs Astralis: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Dust II38 min
HOTU
13
T8:4CT5:2
Astralis
6
MAP 2Ancient58 min
HOTU
14
CT5:7T7:5OT1 T1:2OT1 CT1:2
Astralis
16
MAP 3Nuke34 min
HOTU
2
T2:10CT0:3
Astralis
13

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

HOTU vs Astralis: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating53 Elo points separate HOTU (1812) and Astralis (1865).
  • Head-to-headHOTU 1-1 Astralis in 2 meetings since 2024. Astralis took the previous meeting 2-1 at BLAST Bounty Summer 2026 (). More
  • FormHOTU won 6 of their last 10; Astralis won 8 of 10. Astralis come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 65% chance.

HOTU vs Astralis: rosters

HOTUElo: #30VRS: #31
AWP
n0rb3r7
frontalesProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
68%Win rate64%
100Matches, 12 months83
6/10Last 10 matches7/10
won 1Current streakwon 1
24Age19
07/2025On the team since10/2026
800eDPI560
cmtryProfile
AstralisElo: #19VRS: #10
AWP
phzyAWP
IGL
Staehr

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

HOTUTeamAstralis
62% (168-102)Map win rate53% (103-92)
28-19Deciding maps won–lost22-11
62%Series wins without dropping a map48%
46 minAverage map length48 min
57%CT-side rounds won57%
67%First half won61%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

HOTU vs Astralis: meetings before this one

HOTUHOTUHOTU1win1winAstralisAstralis

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Astralis ()

All 2 meetings

HOTU and Astralis: form going into the match

HOTU · 6 of 10 wonAstralis · 8 of 10 wonWonLost
176017981837187518121865176017981837187518121865
Elo after each match · oldernewer
Wfnatic2–0
Lfnatic1–2
WAcend2–0
WSTATE2–1
LTeam Nemesis1–2
WBlack Phoenix2–1
WREFRESHER2–0
LBlack Phoenix0–2
LVirtus.pro0–3
WBBL2–1
WSashi Esport2–0
WNemiga3–1
WLuminosity2–1
Wfnatic2–0
WBIG2–1
WFaZe2–1
LAlliance1–2
L100 Thieves1–2
WBetclic Apogee Esports2–1
WFOKUS2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

HOTUWin %Astralis
67%9 mapsWWWLW
Ancient
71%14 mapsLWWWL
63%8 mapsWWLWL
Nuke
36%14 mapsWWWLL
56%9 mapsWWLLW
Dust II
29%7 mapsWLLLL
50%6 mapsWLWLW
Cache
89%9 mapsWWWWW
100%3 mapsWWW
Mirage
60%10 mapsWWLWL
–
Inferno
40%10 mapsLLLWL
75%4 mapsWWWL
Anubis
0%1 mapsL
0%1 mapsL
Overpass
0%3 mapsLLL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Bracket path

Winners' MatchHOTUHOTUHOTU1AstralisAstralis2This match