THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (TdU-MF) result: Dfrag Wildcard LAN season 1 2026, 14 Mar 2026

61.6%Win probability before the match38.4%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating55 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1685) and Mindfreak (1630).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 7-1 Mindfreak in 8 meetings since 2024. Mindfreak took the previous meeting 3-0 at CCT Oceania Series #4 season 3 2026 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 7 of their last 10; Mindfreak won 7 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 62% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: rosters

AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz
aliStairProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
80%Win rate38%
55Matches, 12 months29
7/10Last 10 matches4/10
won 2Current streaklost 1
27Age20
11/2025On the team since–
760eDPI–
74LORProfile
MindfreakElo: #319VRS: #258
IGL
void

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamMindfreak
77% (55-16)Map win rate57% (105-80)
6-2Deciding maps won–lost10-15
77%Series wins without dropping a map73%
39 minAverage map length43 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: meetings before this one

8 meetings · Most recent: 3–0 to Mindfreak ()

All 8 meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Mindfreak: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 7 of 10 wonMindfreak · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
155216271701177616851630155216271701177616851630
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WGround Zero2–1
WTime Waves2–0
LLegion1–2
LMindfreak0–3
LThe Huns Esports0–2
WGround Zero2–1
WMindfreak2–0
WMindfreak2–0
WGround Zero2–0
WAbyssal2–0
WArcade Esports2–0
LSemperFi Esports0–2
WArcade Esports2–1
WTHUNDER dOWNUNDER3–0
WGround Zero2–0
WAbyssal2–1
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
WAbyssal2–0
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
WAbyssal2–0