Astralis vs BIG (AST-BIG) result: Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026, 3 Oct 2026

49.5%Win probability before the match50.5%
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Astralis vs BIG: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Cache41 min
Astralis
13
T11:1CT2:4
BIG
5
MAP 2Inferno60 min
Astralis
11
CT8:4T3:9
BIG
13
MAP 3Mirage41 min
Astralis
13
T11:1CT2:0
BIG
1

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Astralis vs BIG: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating3 Elo points separate Astralis (1816) and BIG (1819).
  • Head-to-headAstralis 4-0 BIG in 4 meetings since 2024. Astralis took the previous meeting 2-1 at BLAST.tv Major Austin: European Regional Qualifier 2025 (). More
  • FormAstralis won 5 of their last 10; BIG won 3 of 10. Astralis come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (51% for the side it leaned to); Astralis took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Astralis vs BIG: rosters

AstralisElo: #18VRS: #10
HooXiIGL
jabbi
phzyAWP
Staehr
Player comparison12 months before this match
55%Win rate67%
84Matches, 12 months87
5/10Last 10 matches3/10
won 1Current streaklost 1
24Age20
01/2026On the team since10/2025
1584eDPI920
gr1ksProfile
BIGElo: #25VRS: #25
blameFIGL
faveN
AWP
JDC
tabseN

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AstralisTeamBIG
49% (93-95)Map win rate63% (133-77)
20-12Deciding maps won–lost21-13
49%Series wins without dropping a map60%
48 minAverage map length47 min
55%CT-side rounds won56%
47%First half won54%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Astralis vs BIG: meetings before this one

AstralisAstralis4wins0winsBIGBIGBIG

4 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Astralis ()

All 4 meetings

Astralis and BIG: form going into the match

Astralis · 5 of 10 wonBIG · 3 of 10 wonWonLost
180118251849187318161817180118251849187318161817
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WFaZe2–1
LAlliance1–2
L100 Thieves1–2
WBetclic Apogee Esports2–1
WFOKUS2–0
WSangal2–1
L5star1–2
LBetBoom Team0–2
WG22–1
LG21–2
LLuminosity1–2
Wfnatic2–1
LG21–2
LBetBoom Team0–2
Lmagic0–2
WpaiN2–0
LNemiga1–2
LSpirit1–2
LG21–2
WAurora Gaming1–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AstralisWin %BIG
73%15 mapsWWLWW
Ancient
56%16 mapsLLWWW
50%10 mapsLLWLL
Inferno
67%15 mapsWWLLW
44%9 mapsWLWLL
Mirage
43%14 mapsLWLLW
25%12 mapsLLWLL
Nuke
43%7 mapsLWLWL
25%8 mapsWLLLL
Dust II
57%7 mapsLWLWL
83%6 mapsWWLWW
Cache
63%8 mapsLWLWL
25%4 mapsWLLL
Overpass
33%6 mapsLWLLL
0%1 mapsL
Anubis
67%3 mapsWLW

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