FaZe vs Astralis (FaZe-AST) result: Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026, 2 Oct 2026

59.1%Win probability before the match40.9%
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FaZe vs Astralis: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Ancient50 min
FaZe
11
CT9:3T2:10
Astralis
13
MAP 2Nuke54 min
FaZe
13
T4:8CT9:3
Astralis
11
MAP 3Cache54 min
FaZe
9
CT4:8T5:5
Astralis
13

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

FaZe vs Astralis: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating43 Elo points separate FaZe (1852) and Astralis (1809).
  • Head-to-headFaZe 3-6 Astralis in 9 meetings since 2024. Astralis took the previous meeting 2-1 at ESL Pro League Season 23 2026 (). More
  • FormFaZe won 5 of their last 10; Astralis won 5 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave FaZe a 59% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

FaZe vs Astralis: rosters

FaZeElo: #18VRS: #26
frozen
AWP
TwistzzIGL
JBOENProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
54%Win rate54%
61Matches, 12 months83
5/10Last 10 matches5/10
lost 4Current streaklost 2
21Age24
07/2026On the team since01/2026
800eDPI1584
AstralisElo: #19VRS: #10
HooXiIGL
jabbi
phzyAWP
Staehr

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

FaZeTeamAstralis
51% (92-89)Map win rate49% (93-95)
13-16Deciding maps won–lost20-12
63%Series wins without dropping a map49%
50 minAverage map length48 min
56%CT-side rounds won55%
53%First half won46%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

FaZe vs Astralis: meetings before this one

FaZeFaZeFaZe3wins6winsAstralisAstralis

9 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Astralis ()

All 9 meetings

FaZe and Astralis: form going into the match

FaZe · 5 of 10 wonAstralis · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
180118401879191818521811180118401879191818521811
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LNemiga0–2
Lmagic1–2
LAlliance0–2
LVitality0–2
WLegacy2–0
WBetBoom Team1–0
LSpirit1–2
WThe MongolZ2–1
WDENDELE CS2–1
WEYEBALLERS2–0
LAlliance1–2
L100 Thieves1–2
WBetclic Apogee Esports2–1
WFOKUS2–0
WSangal2–1
L5star1–2
LBetBoom Team0–2
WG22–1
LG21–2
WNIP2–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

FaZeWin %Astralis
41%17 mapsLWLLL
Ancient
71%14 mapsWLWWL
62%13 mapsWLLWL
Mirage
44%9 mapsLLWLW
60%10 mapsLWWWL
Nuke
27%11 mapsLWLLL
36%11 mapsLWLLW
Dust II
25%8 mapsLLLLW
75%8 mapsWWWLL
Cache
80%5 mapsWLWWW
–
Inferno
50%10 mapsLLWLL
33%6 mapsLWLWL
Anubis
0%1 mapsL
0%2 mapsLL
Overpass
25%4 mapsLLLW

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