fnatic vs Alliance (FNC-ALL) result: Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026, 3 Oct 2026

51%Win probability before the match49%
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fnatic vs Alliance: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Cache34 min
fnatic
13
T7:5CT6:0
Alliance
5
MAP 2Inferno51 min
fnatic
13
CT9:3T4:8
Alliance
11

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

fnatic vs Alliance: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating4 Elo points separate fnatic (1795) and Alliance (1791).
  • Head-to-headfnatic 0-3 Alliance in 3 meetings since 2024. Alliance took the previous meeting 2-1 at ROG Journey Summer 2026 (). More
  • Formfnatic won 5 of their last 10; Alliance won 4 of 10. fnatic come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (51% for the side it leaned to); fnatic took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

fnatic vs Alliance: rosters

fnaticElo: #28VRS: #35
fearIGL
AWP
JamboProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
58%Win rate68%
95Matches, 12 months99
5/10Last 10 matches4/10
won 1Current streaklost 1
21Age25
03/2025On the team since12/2024
800eDPI600
AllianceElo: #59VRS: #24
bobeksde
eraaAWP
twistIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

fnaticTeamAlliance
58% (146-106)Map win rate63% (170-99)
20-22Deciding maps won–lost23-14
66%Series wins without dropping a map67%
48 minAverage map length47 min
58%CT-side rounds won51%
62%First half won37%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

fnatic vs Alliance: meetings before this one

fnaticfnatic0wins3winsAllianceAlliance

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Alliance ()

All 3 meetings

fnatic and Alliance: form going into the match

fnatic · 5 of 10 wonAlliance · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
174517751805183518011789174517751805183518011789
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WB82–0
LBIG1–2
LTeam Nemesis1–2
WIberian Soul2–0
LHeroic1–2
WJust Players2–0
WPhantom2–0
WEsport Academy Copenhagen2–1
LPhantom1–2
LDrama eSports0–1
LNemiga0–2
WAstralis2–1
L3DMAX0–2
LSinners1–2
LMIBR0–2
Wmagic2–0
WTYLOO2–0
LLegacy0–2
WFaZe2–0
LTeletubisie0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

fnaticWin %Alliance
83%6 mapsWWWWL
Inferno
67%12 mapsWLWLW
100%5 mapsWWWWW
Ancient
60%10 mapsLLWWW
57%7 mapsWWLWW
Anubis
33%3 mapsLWL
100%3 mapsWWW
Dust II
17%6 mapsLLLLW
50%6 mapsLWLLW
Mirage
–
67%3 mapsWLW
Cache
0%3 mapsLLL
–
Nuke
33%6 mapsWWLLL
50%2 mapsWL
Overpass
–

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