illwill vs ex-RUBY (ILWL-ex-RUBY) result: CCT Europe Series #4 2026, 16 Jun 2026

38.8%Win probability before the match61.2%
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illwill vs ex-RUBY: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Nuke64 min
illwill
13
CT5:7T7:5OT1 T1:2OT1 CT0:2
ex-RUBY
16
MAP 2Dust II55 min
illwill
13
T10:2CT3:9
ex-RUBY
11
MAP 3Mirage72 min
illwill
17
CT7:5T5:7OT1 T1:2OT1 CT2:1OT2 CT1:2OT2 T1:2
ex-RUBY
19

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illwill vs ex-RUBY: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating53 Elo points separate illwill (1640) and ex-RUBY (1693).
  • Head-to-headillwill 1-1 ex-RUBY in 2 meetings since 2024. ex-RUBY took the previous meeting 2-0 at NODWIN Clutch Series Season 8 2026 (). More
  • Formillwill won 4 of their last 10; ex-RUBY won 7 of 10. ex-RUBY are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave ex-RUBY a 61% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

illwill vs ex-RUBY: rosters

illwillVRS: #255
ex-RUBYElo: #68VRS: #121
H4SAN4TOR
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

illwillTeamex-RUBY
61% (125-81)Map win rate58% (172-126)
20-13Deciding maps won–lost33-29
62%Series wins without dropping a map53%
45 minAverage map length46 min
50%CT-side rounds won58%
48%First half won56%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

illwill vs ex-RUBY: meetings before this one

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to ex-RUBY ()

All 2 meetings

illwill and ex-RUBY: form going into the match

illwill · 4 of 10 wonex-RUBY · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
161316511689172716401693161316511689172716401693
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LNuclear TigeRES0–2
WVirtus.pro2–1
WRUSTEC2–0
LG2 Ares1–2
Lex-Zero Tenacity1–2
Lfnatic1–2
Lex-RUBY0–2
L100 Thieves1–2
WJohnny Speeds2–1
Wmagic2–1
LInfinite0–2
LINOX Division1–2
WG2 Ares2–0
WRUSTEC2–1
WCYBERSHOKE Esports2–0
WAcend2–1
L100 Thieves0–2
WRUSTEC2–1
WBushido Wildcats2–0
WAM Gaming2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

illwillWin %ex-RUBY
57%7 mapsWLLWL
Dust II
60%30 mapsLWWLW
40%10 mapsLLLWW
Mirage
60%25 mapsWLWLW
67%6 mapsWWLWL
Nuke
63%27 mapsLLWWW
–
Ancient
58%24 mapsWLLWW
80%5 mapsWLWWW
Overpass
76%17 mapsWWWWL
–
Anubis
63%8 mapsWWWLW
75%4 mapsWWLW
Inferno
–

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