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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (TdU-GZ) result: HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026, 18 Jul 2026

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER#79 · Elo 16811Ground ZeroGround Zero#147 · Elo 15872
HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3LAN
69.4%Win probability before the match30.6%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2Ground ZerowonMap 3Ground Zerowon
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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating94 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1681) and Ground Zero (1587).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 10-1 Ground Zero in 11 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-0 at HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 4 of their last 10; Ground Zero won 6 of 10. Ground Zero come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 69% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: rosters

THUNDER dOWNUNDERElo: #79
AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz
aliStairProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
78%Win rate55%
60Matches, 12 months80
4/10Last 10 matches6/10
lost 1Current streakwon 1
28Age27
11/2025On the team since08/2025
760eDPI800
apocdudProfile
Ground ZeroElo: #147VRS: #136
AWP
HaZR

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamGround Zero
71% (92-37)Map win rate50% (109-109)
13-3Deciding maps won–lost22-10
69%Series wins without dropping a map54%
42 minAverage map length44 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: meetings before this one

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER10wins1winGround ZeroGround Zero

11 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

BO3HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER67%22 : 0Ground ZeroGround Zero33%0BO3ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 season 51 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER81%22 : 0Ground ZeroGround Zero19%0BO3ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 season 51 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER77%22 : 0Ground ZeroGround Zero23%0BO3ANZC Locals Brisbane: Autumn 2026 · Group BTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER73%22 : 1Ground ZeroGround Zero27%1BO3Dfrag Wildcard LAN season 1 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER73%22 : 1Ground ZeroGround Zero27%1
All 11 meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Ground Zero: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 4 of 10 wonGround Zero · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
157816231669171516811586157816231669171516811586
Elo after each match · oldernewer
THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERSee all
LFlyQuest0–2
WGround Zero2–0
WRooster2–0
WMindfreak1–0
LFlyQuest0–2
LBIG0–1
LB80–1
WMIBR1–0
LSemperFi Esports0–2
LLynn Vision1–2
Ground ZeroGround ZeroSee all
WMindfreak2–1
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
WArcade Esports2–1
LFlyQuest0–2
WArcade Esports1–0
LLynn Vision0–2
LRooster1–2
WRooster2–0
WMARKandLARRY2–0
WDing Cuts2–0

Bracket path

Lower bracket finalTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1Ground ZeroGround Zero2This match
Ground Zero go toGrand finalvs FlyQuest
THUNDER dOWNUNDER knocked out