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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (TdU-GZ) result: HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026, 18 Jul 2026

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER#79 · Elo 16822Ground ZeroGround Zero#147 · Elo 15990
HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3LAN
67.2%Win probability before the match32.8%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating83 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1682) and Ground Zero (1599).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 9-1 Ground Zero in 10 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 season 51 2026 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 5 of their last 10; Ground Zero won 6 of 10. Ground Zero come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 67% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: rosters

THUNDER dOWNUNDERElo: #79
AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz
aliStairProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
80%Win rate55%
59Matches, 12 months78
5/10Last 10 matches6/10
won 2Current streakwon 1
28Age27
11/2025On the team since08/2025
760eDPI800
apocdudProfile
Ground ZeroElo: #147VRS: #136
AWP
HaZR

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamGround Zero
72% (90-35)Map win rate50% (107-106)
13-3Deciding maps won–lost21-10
68%Series wins without dropping a map55%
42 minAverage map length44 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: meetings before this one

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER9wins1winGround ZeroGround Zero

10 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

BO3ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 season 51 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER81%22 : 0Ground ZeroGround Zero19%0BO3ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 season 51 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER77%22 : 0Ground ZeroGround Zero23%0BO3ANZC Locals Brisbane: Autumn 2026 · Group BTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER73%22 : 1Ground ZeroGround Zero27%1BO3Dfrag Wildcard LAN season 1 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER73%22 : 1Ground ZeroGround Zero27%1BO3Dfrag Wildcard LAN season 1 2026 · Group ATHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER77%22 : 1Ground ZeroGround Zero23%1
All 10 meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Ground Zero: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 5 of 10 wonGround Zero · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
154116011661172116841595154116011661172116841595
Elo after each match · oldernewer
THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERSee all
WRooster2–0
WMindfreak1–0
LFlyQuest0–2
LBIG0–1
LB80–1
WMIBR1–0
LSemperFi Esports0–2
LLynn Vision1–2
WKaleido Gaming2–1
WHaunted House2–1
Ground ZeroGround ZeroSee all
WArcade Esports2–1
LFlyQuest0–2
WArcade Esports1–0
LLynn Vision0–2
LRooster1–2
WRooster2–0
WMARKandLARRY2–0
WDing Cuts2–0
WMasked Regime2–1
LKaleido Gaming0–2

Bracket path

Upper bracket semifinal 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER2Ground ZeroGround Zero0This match
THUNDER dOWNUNDER go toUpper bracket finalvs FlyQuestGround Zero drop toLower bracket semifinalvs Mindfreak