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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (TdU-GZ) result: ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 season 52 2026, 30 Aug 2026

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER#79 · Elo 16462Ground ZeroGround Zero#147 · Elo 16551
ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 season 52 2026 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3
48.1%Win probability before the match51.9%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2Ground ZerowonMap 3THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating9 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1646) and Ground Zero (1655).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 10-2 Ground Zero in 12 meetings since 2024. Ground Zero took the previous meeting 2-1 at HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 5 of their last 10; Ground Zero won 8 of 10. Ground Zero are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (52% for the side it leaned to); THUNDER dOWNUNDER took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: rosters

THUNDER dOWNUNDERElo: #79
AWP
asap
dexterIGL
GratisfactionAWP
Liazz
aliStairProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
78%Win rate57%
58Matches, 12 months87
4/10Last 10 matches8/10
lost 2Current streakwon 5
28Age27
11/2025On the team since08/2025
760eDPI800
apocdudProfile
Ground ZeroElo: #147VRS: #136
AWP
HaZR

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamGround Zero
71% (95-39)Map win rate54% (126-108)
13-4Deciding maps won–lost23-11
70%Series wins without dropping a map59%
42 minAverage map length44 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: meetings before this one

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER10wins2winsGround ZeroGround Zero

12 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Ground Zero ()

BO3HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER69%11 : 2Ground ZeroGround Zero31%2BO3HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER67%22 : 0Ground ZeroGround Zero33%0BO3ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 season 51 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER81%22 : 0Ground ZeroGround Zero19%0BO3ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 season 51 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER77%22 : 0Ground ZeroGround Zero23%0BO3ANZC Locals Brisbane: Autumn 2026 · Group BTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER73%22 : 1Ground ZeroGround Zero27%1
All 12 meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Ground Zero: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 5 of 10 wonGround Zero · 8 of 10 wonWonLost
158916281666170516461648158916281666170516461648
Elo after each match · oldernewer
THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERSee all
WMindfreak2–0
LGround Zero1–2
LFlyQuest0–2
WGround Zero2–0
WRooster2–0
WMindfreak1–0
LFlyQuest0–2
LBIG0–1
LB80–1
WMIBR1–0
Ground ZeroGround ZeroSee all
WRooster2–0
WOrgless2–0
WAbyssal2–0
WMindfreak2–0
LAbyssal1–2
WMindfreak2–0
WAbyssal2–0
WTime Waves2–0
LFlyQuest0–2
WTHUNDER dOWNUNDER2–1

Bracket path

Upper bracket finalTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER2Ground ZeroGround Zero1This match
THUNDER dOWNUNDER go toGrand finalvs the winner of Ground Zero vs Arcade EsportsGround Zero drop toLower bracket finalvs Arcade Esports