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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (TdU-MF) result: ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 season 52 2026, 28 Aug 2026

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER#79 · Elo 16372MindfreakMindfreakMindfreak#319 · Elo 14770
ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 season 52 2026 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3
80.3%Win probability before the match19.7%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
Watch back
ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 season 52 2026 · Upper bracket semifinal 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERMindfreakMindfreakMindfreakMindfreakMindfreakVS
REPLAYTwitch · flamboyantttt · EN

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating160 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1637) and Mindfreak (1477).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 9-1 Mindfreak in 10 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 1-0 at HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 4 of their last 10; Mindfreak won 5 of 10. Mindfreak come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 80% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: rosters

THUNDER dOWNUNDERElo: #79
AWP
asap
dexterIGL
GratisfactionAWP
Liazz
aliStairProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
78%Win rate52%
59Matches, 12 months86
4/10Last 10 matches5/10
lost 2Current streakwon 1
28Age21
11/2025On the team since07/2025
760eDPI–
zuneProfile
MindfreakElo: #319VRS: #258
IGL
void
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamMindfreak
70% (93-39)Map win rate54% (105-90)
13-4Deciding maps won–lost13-17
69%Series wins without dropping a map67%
42 minAverage map length43 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: meetings before this one

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER9wins1winMindfreakMindfreakMindfreak

10 meetings · Most recent: 1–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

BO1HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 · Group ATHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER79%11 : 0MindfreakMindfreakMindfreak21%0BO3Dfrag Wildcard LAN season 1 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER62%22 : 0MindfreakMindfreakMindfreak38%0BO5CCT Oceania Series #4 season 3 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER84%00 : 3MindfreakMindfreakMindfreak16%3BO3PGL Bucharest: Oceanic Closed Qualifier 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER82%22 : 0MindfreakMindfreakMindfreak18%0BO3PGL Bucharest: Oceanic Closed Qualifier 2026 · PlayoffsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER83%22 : 0MindfreakMindfreakMindfreak17%0
All 10 meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Mindfreak: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 4 of 10 wonMindfreak · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
144215291617170516661466144215291617170516661466
Elo after each match · oldernewer
THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERSee all
LGround Zero1–2
LFlyQuest0–2
WGround Zero2–0
WRooster2–0
WMindfreak1–0
LFlyQuest0–2
LBIG0–1
LB80–1
WMIBR1–0
LSemperFi Esports0–2
MindfreakMindfreakMindfreakSee all
WArcade Esports2–1
LGround Zero0–2
WRooster2–1
LGround Zero0–2
WFURY2–0
WFinishers2–1
LFURY1–2
LGround Zero1–2
LFlyQuest0–2
WRooster2–0

Bracket path

Upper bracket semifinal 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER2MindfreakMindfreakMindfreak0This match
THUNDER dOWNUNDER go toUpper bracket finalvs Ground ZeroMindfreak drop toLower bracket quarterfinal 1vs Arcade Esports