Astralis vs MIBR (AST-MIBR) result: Stake Pulse Beat III 2026, 16 Oct 2026

58.2%Win probability before the match41.8%
Watch back
Stake Pulse Beat III 2026 · Quarterfinal 3AstralisAstralisAstralisMIBRMIBRMIBRMIBRMIBRVS
REPLAYYouTube · cs2.Streams · EN

Astralis vs MIBR: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Inferno44 min
Astralis
13
CT8:4T5:4
MIBR
8
MAP 2Cache65 min
Astralis
14
T5:7CT7:5OT1 CT1:2OT1 T1:2
MIBR
16
MAP 3Mirage47 min
Astralis
9
T5:7CT4:6
MIBR
13

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Astralis vs MIBR: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating38 Elo points separate Astralis (1890) and MIBR (1852).
  • Head-to-headAstralis 19-3 MIBR in 22 meetings since 2024. Astralis took the previous meeting 1-0 at Esports World Cup 2026 (). More
  • FormAstralis won 8 of their last 10; MIBR won 5 of 10. Astralis are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 58% chance.

Astralis vs MIBR: rosters

AstralisElo: #18VRS: #10
AWP
phzyAWP
IGL
Staehr
cmtryProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
64%Win rate55%
81Matches, 12 months69
7/10Last 10 matches5/10
won 2Current streakwon 2
19Age21
10/2026On the team since07/2026
560eDPI960
MIBRElo: #14VRS: #12
LNZIGL
AWP
tomaszin

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AstralisTeamMIBR
53% (105-93)Map win rate60% (110-73)
23-11Deciding maps won–lost14-12
47%Series wins without dropping a map68%
48 minAverage map length48 min
57%CT-side rounds won58%
62%First half won55%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Astralis vs MIBR: meetings before this one

AstralisAstralis19wins3winsMIBRMIBRMIBR

22 meetings · Most recent: 1–0 to Astralis ()

All 22 meetings

Astralis and MIBR: form going into the match

Astralis · 8 of 10 wonMIBR · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
180318301857188418721839180318301857188418721839
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WHOTU2–1
WSashi Esport2–0
WNemiga3–1
WLuminosity2–1
Wfnatic2–0
WBIG2–1
WFaZe2–1
LAlliance1–2
L100 Thieves1–2
WBetclic Apogee Esports2–1
WBC.Game Esports2–1
WEnvy2–0
LBC.Game Esports1–2
LFURIA0–2
WNRG2–0
Wmagic2–1
LFURIA1–2
LLegacy1–2
WAlliance2–0
LBetBoom Team0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AstralisWin %MIBR
73%15 mapsWWWLW
Ancient
54%13 mapsLWWWW
40%15 mapsLWWWW
Nuke
36%11 mapsLLLLW
60%10 mapsLWLWW
Mirage
47%15 mapsWLLLW
40%10 mapsLWLLL
Inferno
57%14 mapsWWWWL
89%9 mapsWWWWW
Cache
60%5 mapsLWLWW
25%8 mapsLLLWL
Dust II
–
0%1 mapsL
Anubis
80%5 mapsWLWWW
0%3 mapsLLL
Overpass
0%1 mapsL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Bracket path

Quarterfinal 3AstralisAstralis1MIBRMIBRMIBR2This match