Nova Esports vs XLG Gaming (NOVA-XLG) result: China Evolution Series Act 2 2025, 8 May 2025

39.8%Win probability before the match60.2%
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Nova Esports vs XLG Gaming: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Sunset24 min
Nova EsportsRaze · KAY/O · Phoenix · Omen · CypherPICK
13
Atk10:2Def3:0
XLG GamingCypher · Neon · Breach · Sova · Omen
2
MAP 2Lotus38 min
Nova EsportsDeadlock · Vyse · Raze · Omen · Breach
10
Atk6:6Def4:7
XLG GamingOmen · Chamber · Tejo · Neon · BreachPICK
13
MAP 3Havendecider31 min
Nova EsportsCypher · Omen · Neon · Breach · Tejo
13
Atk9:3Def4:2
XLG GamingSova · Omen · Iso · Yoru · Cypher
5

Player scoreboard

Nova Esports
PlayerACSKDA+/–KASTADRHS%FKFD
SwerlRaze2691592+6–––––
o0o0oKAY/O2691689+8–––––
cbPhoenix2591484+6–––––
EzeirOmen2491389+5–––––
GuanGCypher162981+1–––––
XLG Gaming
PlayerACSKDA+/–KASTADRHS%FKFD
MarT1nCypher31116132+3–––––
xRANNeon2299124-3–––––
ArtyBreach1668145-6–––––
hvoyaSova1125142-9–––––
MentalityOmen583141-11–––––

Map veto

  1. Nova Esports banned Ascent
  2. XLG Gaming banned Split
  3. Nova Esports picked Sunset
  4. XLG Gaming picked Lotus
  5. Nova Esports banned Pearl
  6. XLG Gaming banned Icebox
  7. Haven left as decider

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Nova Esports vs XLG Gaming: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating48 Elo points separate Nova Esports (1386) and XLG Gaming (1434).
  • Head-to-headNova Esports 0-3 XLG Gaming in 3 meetings since 2024. XLG Gaming took the previous meeting 2-0 at VCT China Stage 1 2025 (). More
  • FormNova Esports won 6 of their last 10; XLG Gaming won 8 of 10. XLG Gaming come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave XLG Gaming a 60% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Nova Esports vs XLG Gaming: rosters

Nova EsportsElo: #37
Player comparison12 months before this match
200ACS185
1.02K/D0.94
21Age21
02/2024On the team since09/2024
happywei
happyweiProfile
XLG GamingElo: #46
happywei
Lysoar
Rarga

Settings, ACS, K/D, KAST, ADR source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Nova EsportsTeamXLG Gaming
54% (45-39)Map win rate62% (64-40)
8-3Deciding maps won–lost11-5
53%Series wins without dropping a map56%
45 minAverage map length48 min
50%Attack-side rounds won54%
50%First half won72%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Nova Esports vs XLG Gaming: meetings before this one

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to XLG Gaming ()

All 3 meetings

Nova Esports and XLG Gaming: form going into the match

Nova Esports · 6 of 10 wonXLG Gaming · 8 of 10 wonWonLost
137614221468151413861506137614221468151413861506
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LTrace Esports0–2
LXLG Gaming0–2
LTEC Esports0–2
WTYLOO2–1
WFunPlus Phoenix2–0
WEDward Gaming2–0
LDragon Ranger Gaming0–2
WWolves Esports3–0
WBilibili Gaming2–0
WFunPlus Phoenix2–0
WBilibili Gaming3–1
WWolves Esports2–0
WEDward Gaming2–0
WNova Esports2–0
WJD Gaming2–1
WTrace Esports2–1
WWolves Esports2–0
WAll Gamers2–0
LBilibili Gaming1–2
LJD Gaming0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

Nova Esports
XLG Gaming
20%5 maps · 3 bansLWLLL
Lotus
75%12 mapsWWWWW
70%10 mapsWWWLL
Split
100%2 maps · 6 bansWW
40%5 maps · 4 bansLWLWL
Fracture
80%5 maps · 7 bansWWWWL
75%4 maps · 4 bansLWWW
Pearl
60%5 maps · 7 bansLWWWL
67%3 mapsWLW
Abyss
0%3 maps · 1 bansLLL
67%3 mapsWLW
Bind
67%3 mapsLWW
50%2 maps · 3 bansWL
Icebox
33%3 maps · 2 bansLWL
–
Haven
80%5 maps · 3 bansWWLWW
50%2 maps · 1 bansWL
Ascent
100%1 maps · 4 bansW

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