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FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (FLY-TdU) result: ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026, 29 Sep 2026

FlyQuestFlyQuest#24 · Elo 17992THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER#79 · Elo 16990
ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3
70.4%Win probability before the match29.6%
Map 1FlyQuestwonMap 2FlyQuestwon
Watch back
ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026 · Grand FinalFlyQuestFlyQuestFlyQuestTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERVS
REPLAYYouTube · ESL Counter-Strike B · EN

FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating100 Elo points separate FlyQuest (1799) and THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1699).
  • Head-to-headFlyQuest 3-0 THUNDER dOWNUNDER in 3 meetings since 2024. FlyQuest took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026 (). More
  • FormFlyQuest won 8 of their last 10; THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 7 of 10. FlyQuest come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave FlyQuest a 70% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: rosters

FlyQuestElo: #24VRS: #86
AWP
INSIGL
jks
aliStairProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
78%Win rate68%
69Matches, 12 months38
8/10Last 10 matches8/10
won 3Current streakwon 1
28Age30
04/2024On the team since08/2026
760eDPI944
Gratisfaction
GratisfactionProfile
THUNDER dOWNUNDERElo: #79
dexterIGL
GratisfactionAWP
Liazz

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

FlyQuestTeamTHUNDER dOWNUNDER
67% (73-36)Map win rate71% (105-42)
2-5Deciding maps won–lost14-4
94%Series wins without dropping a map71%
45 minAverage map length42 min
55%CT-side rounds won50%
56%First half won40%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: meetings before this one

FlyQuestFlyQuest3wins0winsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to FlyQuest ()

BO3ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026 · PlayoffsFlyQuestFlyQuest69%22 : 0THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER31%0BO3HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 · PlayoffsFlyQuestFlyQuest66%22 : 0THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER34%0BO3IEM Cologne Major 2026 · Stage 1FlyQuestFlyQuest64%22 : 0THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER36%0
All 3 meetings

FlyQuest and THUNDER dOWNUNDER: form going into the match

FlyQuest · 8 of 10 wonTHUNDER dOWNUNDER · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
163816971756181518021699163816971756181518021699
Elo after each match · oldernewer
FlyQuestFlyQuestSee all
WTHUNDER dOWNUNDER2–0
WRooster2–0
WOrgless2–0
LDEPO0–2
WFinishers2–0
WDevious2–0
WRare Atom2–1
WDEPO2–0
WKaleido Gaming2–0
LRare Atom1–2
THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERSee all
WGround Zero2–0
LFlyQuest0–2
WGround Zero2–0
WArcade Esports2–0
WGround Zero2–0
WGround Zero2–1
WMindfreak2–0
LGround Zero1–2
LFlyQuest0–2
WGround Zero2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

FlyQuestWin %THUNDER dOWNUNDER
67%3 mapsLWW
Inferno
33%3 mapsLLW
67%3 mapsWWL
Anubis
0%1 mapsL
0%2 mapsLL
Dust II
0%1 mapsL
0%1 mapsL
Nuke
–
0%1 mapsL
Mirage
–
100%1 mapsW
Ancient
–

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Bracket path

Grand FinalFlyQuestFlyQuest2THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0This match
FlyQuest won the title
THUNDER dOWNUNDER knocked out