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Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (GZ-TdU) result: ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026, 25 Sep 2026

Ground ZeroGround Zero#144 · Elo 16570THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER#79 · Elo 16792
ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3
45.2%Win probability before the match54.8%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating22 Elo points separate Ground Zero (1657) and THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1679).
  • Head-to-headGround Zero 2-12 THUNDER dOWNUNDER in 14 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 season 52 2026 (). More
  • FormGround Zero won 7 of their last 10; THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 7 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 55% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: rosters

Ground ZeroElo: #144VRS: #136
AWP
HaZR
apocdudProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
59%Win rate69%
87Matches, 12 months35
7/10Last 10 matches8/10
won 1Current streakwon 2
27Age30
08/2025On the team since08/2026
800eDPI944
Gratisfaction
GratisfactionProfile
THUNDER dOWNUNDERElo: #79
dexterIGL
GratisfactionAWP
Liazz

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Ground ZeroTeamTHUNDER dOWNUNDER
56% (121-97)Map win rate72% (101-40)
20-12Deciding maps won–lost14-4
62%Series wins without dropping a map70%
44 minAverage map length42 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: meetings before this one

Ground ZeroGround Zero2wins12winsTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER

14 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

BO3ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 season 52 2026 · PlayoffsGround ZeroGround Zero51%00 : 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER49%2BO3ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 season 52 2026 · PlayoffsGround ZeroGround Zero52%11 : 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER48%2BO3HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 · PlayoffsGround ZeroGround Zero31%22 : 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER69%1BO3HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 · PlayoffsGround ZeroGround Zero33%00 : 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER67%2BO3ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 season 51 2026 · PlayoffsGround ZeroGround Zero19%00 : 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER81%2
All 14 meetings

Ground Zero and THUNDER dOWNUNDER: form going into the match

Ground Zero · 7 of 10 wonTHUNDER dOWNUNDER · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
159616321667170216511681159616321667170216511681
Elo after each match · oldernewer
Ground ZeroGround ZeroSee all
WAbyssal2–0
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
WArcade Esports2–0
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1–2
WRooster2–0
WOrgless2–0
WAbyssal2–0
WMindfreak2–0
LAbyssal1–2
WMindfreak2–0
THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERSee all
WArcade Esports2–0
WGround Zero2–0
WGround Zero2–1
WMindfreak2–0
LGround Zero1–2
LFlyQuest0–2
WGround Zero2–0
WRooster2–0
WMindfreak1–0
LFlyQuest0–2

Bracket path

Upper Bracket Semifinal 2Ground ZeroGround Zero0THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER2This match
THUNDER dOWNUNDER go toUpper Bracket Finalvs FlyQuest
Ground Zero drop toLower Bracket Quarterfinal 2vs Orgless