THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Arcade Esports (TdU-ARC) result: ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026, 23 Sep 2026

82.9%Win probability before the match17.1%
Watch back
ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026 · Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERArcade EsportsArcade EsportsArcade EsportsVS
REPLAYTwitch · ngsabyts · EN

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Arcade Esports: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating179 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1673) and Arcade Esports (1494).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 1-0 Arcade Esports in 1 meeting since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 1-0 at ANZC Locals Brisbane: Autumn 2026 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 6 of their last 10; Arcade Esports won 5 of 10. THUNDER dOWNUNDER come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 83% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Arcade Esports: rosters

dexterIGL
GratisfactionAWP
Liazz

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamArcade Esports
71% (99-40)Map win rate47% (32-36)
14-4Deciding maps won–lost5-8
69%Series wins without dropping a map58%
42 minAverage map length44 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Arcade Esports: meetings before this one

1 meeting · Most recent: 1–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

The only meeting

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Arcade Esports: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 6 of 10 wonArcade Esports · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
145115351619170316731491145115351619170316731491
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WGround Zero2–0
WGround Zero2–1
WMindfreak2–0
LGround Zero1–2
LFlyQuest0–2
WGround Zero2–0
WRooster2–0
WMindfreak1–0
LFlyQuest0–2
LBIG0–1
WFruju2–0
LGround Zero0–2
WRooster2–1
WMindfreak2–1
LMindfreak1–2
LAbyssal0–2
WTime Waves2–1
LAbyssal1–2
LGround Zero1–2
WDXA Esports2–0

Bracket path

Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4THUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER2Arcade EsportsArcade Esports0This match