THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (TdU-GZ) result: ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026, 28 Sep 2026

59.9%Win probability before the match40.1%
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ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026 · Lower Bracket FinalTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDERGround ZeroGround ZeroGround ZeroVS
REPLAYYouTube · ESL Counter-Strike B · EN

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating46 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1685) and Ground Zero (1639).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 13-2 Ground Zero in 15 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 7 of their last 10; Ground Zero won 7 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 60% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: rosters

dexterIGL
GratisfactionAWP
Liazz
Gratisfaction
GratisfactionProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
68%Win rate58%
37Matches, 12 months88
8/10Last 10 matches7/10
lost 1Current streakwon 2
30Age27
08/2026On the team since08/2025
944eDPI800
apocdudProfile
Ground ZeroElo: #147VRS: #136
AWP
HaZR

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamGround Zero
71% (103-42)Map win rate55% (121-101)
14-4Deciding maps won–lost22-12
70%Series wins without dropping a map58%
42 minAverage map length44 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: meetings before this one

15 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

All 15 meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Ground Zero: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 7 of 10 wonGround Zero · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
161616451675170416851641161616451675170416851641
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LFlyQuest0–2
WGround Zero2–0
WArcade Esports2–0
WGround Zero2–0
WGround Zero2–1
WMindfreak2–0
LGround Zero1–2
LFlyQuest0–2
WGround Zero2–0
WRooster2–0
WRooster2–1
WAbyssal2–1
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
WAbyssal2–0
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
WArcade Esports2–0
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1–2
WRooster2–0
WOrgless2–0
WAbyssal2–0

Bracket path

Lower Bracket FinalTHUNDER dOWNUNDERTHUNDER dOWNUNDER2Ground ZeroGround Zero0This match