FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (FLY-TdU) result: ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026, 27 Sep 2026
FlyQuest#25 · Elo 17902
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#79 · Elo 16980ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 season 52 2026 · PlayoffsMatch over
69%Win probability before the match31%
Map 1
wonMap 2won
wonMap 2wonWatch back
FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: what the model expected
Quick read
- Rating92 Elo points separate FlyQuest (1790) and THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1698).
- Head-to-headFlyQuest 2-0 THUNDER dOWNUNDER in 2 meetings since 2024. FlyQuest took the previous meeting 2-0 at HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 (). More
- FormFlyQuest won 8 of their last 10; THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 8 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
- Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave FlyQuest a 69% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.
FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: rosters
Player comparison12 months before this match
| 78% | Win rate | 68% |
|---|---|---|
| 69 | Matches, 12 months | 37 |
| 8/10 | Last 10 matches | 8/10 |
| won 3 | Current streak | lost 1 |
| 28 | Age | 30 |
| 04/2024 | On the team since | 08/2026 |
| 760 | eDPI | 944 |
THUNDER dOWNUNDERElo: #79
Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).
Team comparison
FlyQuestTeamTHUNDER dOWNUNDER
66% (71-36)Map win rate72% (103-40)
2-5Deciding maps won–lost14-4
93%Series wins without dropping a map70%
46 minAverage map length42 min
55%CT-side rounds won50%
56%First half won40%
Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0
FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: meetings before this one
All 2 meetings
FlyQuest and THUNDER dOWNUNDER: form going into the match
FlyQuest · 8 of 10 wonTHUNDER dOWNUNDER · 8 of 10 wonWonLost
Elo after each match · oldernewer
Map pool: how both teams fare on each map
Bracket path
Upper Bracket FinalFlyQuest2
THUNDER dOWNUNDER0This match
FlyQuest2THUNDER dOWNUNDER0This match