Astralis vs magic (AST-MGC) prediction: Stake Ranked Episode 5 2026, 28 Oct 2026

53.8%Eloline prediction46.2%
Map 1Map 2Map 3
Where to watch
Stake Ranked Episode 5 2026 · Lower bracket round 1 match 1AstralisAstralisAstralismagicmagicmagicVS
Kick · starladder · EN

Astralis vs magic: who is more likely to win

Chance of each final score

2:027.6%2:126.2%1:223.7%0:222.6%

Chance it goes the full 3 maps: 50%

Quick read

  • Rating17 Elo points separate Astralis (1842) and magic (1825).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormAstralis won 7 of their last 10; magic won 3 of 10. Astralis are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineCoin flip 53.8% by Elo. Rating and form all point to Astralis.

All CS2 predictions today ›

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Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AstralisWin %magic
69%16 mapsWWLWL
Ancient
55%22 mapsWLLLL
50%10 mapsWLWWL
Mirage
29%17 mapsLLLWL
45%11 mapsWLLLW
Inferno
55%11 mapsLWLLW
29%7 mapsLLLWL
Dust II
50%14 mapsWWWLL
73%11 mapsWWWLL
Cache
40%5 mapsLLLWW
36%14 mapsLWWWW
Nuke
–
0%1 mapsL
Anubis
25%4 mapsWLLL
0%2 mapsLL
Overpass
100%2 mapsWW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Astralis vs magic: rosters

AstralisElo: #18VRS: #10
AWP
phzyAWP
IGL
Staehr
cmtryProfile
Player comparisonLast 12 months
64%Win rate60%
81Matches, 12 months102
5/10Last 10 matches6/10
lost 2Current streaklost 2
19Age21
10/2026On the team since10/2026
560eDPI1440
lattykkProfile
magicElo: #26VRS: #23
AWP
IGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AstralisTeammagic
52% (104-95)Map win rate59% (115-79)
23-12Deciding maps won–lost17-13
45%Series wins without dropping a map66%
48 minAverage map length49 min
55%CT-side rounds won52%
61%First half won41%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Astralis and magic: recent form

Astralis · 7 of 10 wonmagic · 3 of 10 wonWonLost
180318291855188018641829180318291855188018641829
Elo after each match · oldernewer
Lfnatic0–2
LMIBR1–2
WHOTU2–1
WSashi Esport2–0
WNemiga3–1
WLuminosity2–1
Wfnatic2–0
WBIG2–1
WFaZe2–1
LAlliance1–2
LBIG1–2
LThe MongolZ0–2
WLiquid2–0
LPARIVISION0–2
LGamerLegion0–2
LNIP1–2
WGamerLegion2–1
WEYEBALLERS2–1
LMIBR1–2
LVitality0–2

Bracket path

Lower bracket round 1 match 1AstralisAstralismagicmagicThis match
Winner goes toLower bracket quarterfinal 1vs the loser of Inner Circle Esports vs MIBR
Loser is knocked out