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Astralis vs fnatic (AST-FNC) result: Stake Ranked Episode 5 2026, 27 Oct 2026

AstralisAstralis#19 · Elo 18600fnaticfnatic#28 · Elo 17982
Stake Ranked Episode 5 2026 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3LAN
63%Win probability before the match37%
Map 1Cachefnatic6-13Map 2Ancientfnatic6-13
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Astralis vs fnatic: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Cache40 min
Astralis
6
CT1:11T5:2
fnatic
13
MAP 2Ancient36 min
Astralis
6
T4:8CT2:5
fnatic
13

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Astralis vs fnatic: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating62 Elo points separate Astralis (1860) and fnatic (1798).
  • Head-to-headAstralis 25-10 fnatic in 35 meetings since 2024. Astralis took the previous meeting 2-0 at Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026 (). More
  • FormAstralis won 7 of their last 10; fnatic won 6 of 10. Astralis come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 63% chance.

Astralis vs fnatic: rosters

AstralisElo: #19VRS: #10
AWP
phzyAWP
IGL
Staehr
cmtryProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
65%Win rate58%
80Matches, 12 months107
6/10Last 10 matches6/10
lost 1Current streaklost 2
19Age22
10/2026On the team since03/2025
560eDPI800
JamboProfile
fnaticElo: #28VRS: #35
fearIGL
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AstralisTeamfnatic
53% (104-93)Map win rate58% (147-108)
23-12Deciding maps won–lost21-21
45%Series wins without dropping a map65%
48 minAverage map length47 min
56%CT-side rounds won57%
63%First half won63%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Astralis vs fnatic: meetings before this one

AstralisAstralis25wins10winsfnaticfnatic

35 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Astralis ()

BO3Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026 · PlayoffsAstralisAstralis53%22 : 0fnaticfnatic47%0BO3BLAST Bounty Winter 2026 · QualifierAstralisAstralis56%22 : 1fnaticfnatic44%1BO3ESL Pro League Season 20 2024 · Group CAstralisAstralis57%11 : 2fnaticfnatic43%2BO3Elisa Masters Espoo 2022 · PlayoffsAstralisAstralis47%00 : 2fnaticfnatic53%2BO1Elisa Masters Espoo 2022 · Group BAstralisAstralis51%00 : 1fnaticfnatic49%1
All 35 meetings

Astralis and fnatic: form going into the match

Astralis · 7 of 10 wonfnatic · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
177518101844187818631810177518101844187818631810
Elo after each match · oldernewer
AstralisAstralisSee all
LMIBR1–2
WHOTU2–1
WSashi Esport2–0
WNemiga3–1
WLuminosity2–1
Wfnatic2–0
WBIG2–1
WFaZe2–1
LAlliance1–2
L100 Thieves1–2
fnaticfnaticSee all
LPRIVATE0–2
LPARIVISION1–2
WLiquid2–0
LHeroic0–2
WHOTU2–0
WSashi Esport2–0
LHOTU0–2
WHOTU2–1
WK272–1
WPhantom2–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AstralisWin %fnatic
73%15 mapsWWWLW
Ancient
70%10 mapsLWWLL
45%11 mapsWLLLW
Inferno
80%10 mapsLWWWL
80%10 mapsWWWWL
Cache
63%8 mapsLWWLW
50%10 mapsWLWWL
Mirage
50%6 mapsWLLWL
29%7 mapsLLLWL
Dust II
50%8 mapsLLWLL
36%14 mapsLWWWW
Nuke
–
0%1 mapsL
Anubis
57%7 mapsWWLWW
0%2 mapsLL
Overpass
50%2 mapsLW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Bracket path

Upper bracket quarterfinal 1AstralisAstralis0fnaticfnatic2This match
fnatic go toUpper bracket semifinal 1vs BIGAstralis drop toLower bracket round 1 match 1vs magic