Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports (DRG-NOVA) result: VCT Threshold China 2026, 25 Oct 2026

28.4%Win probability before the match71.6%
Watch back
VCT Threshold China 2026 · Grand FinalDragon Ranger GamingDragon Ranger GamingDragon Ranger GamingNova EsportsNova EsportsNova EsportsVS
REPLAYTwitch · valbina · RU

Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating84 Elo points separate Dragon Ranger Gaming (1385) and Nova Esports (1469).
  • Head-to-headDragon Ranger Gaming 5-2 Nova Esports in 7 meetings since 2024. Dragon Ranger Gaming took the previous meeting 2-0 at VCT China Stage 1 2026 (). More
  • FormDragon Ranger Gaming won 5 of their last 10; Nova Esports won 7 of 10. Nova Esports come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Nova Esports a 72% chance.

Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports: rosters

Flex1nIGL
Life
Nicc
vo0kashu
Flex1n
Flex1nProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
0%Win rate0%
2Matches, 12 months2
0/2Last 10 matches0/2
lost 2Current streaklost 2
–ACS200
–K/D1.02
25Age23
01/2025On the team since02/2024
Nova EsportsElo: #37

Settings, ACS, K/D, KAST, ADR source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Dragon Ranger GamingTeamNova Esports
45% (41-50)Map win rate52% (45-42)
9-10Deciding maps won–lost11-2
40%Series wins without dropping a map45%
48 minAverage map length45 min
49%Attack-side rounds won57%
41%First half won60%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports: meetings before this one

7 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Dragon Ranger Gaming ()

All 7 meetings

Dragon Ranger Gaming and Nova Esports: form going into the match

Dragon Ranger Gaming · 5 of 10 wonNova Esports · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
132813791431148213861470132813791431148213861470
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WTEC Esports2–0
WFunPlus Phoenix2–1
WRare Atom2–0
LAny Questions Gaming0–2
LTrace Esports1–2
LTEC Esports1–2
WWolves Esports2–1
WJD Gaming2–1
LAll Gamers1–2
LWolves Esports1–2
WKeepBest Gaming2–0
WAny Questions Gaming2–1
LFunPlus Phoenix0–2
WEDward Gaming2–1
LTYLOO0–2
WXLG Gaming2–1
WTEC Esports2–0
LJD Gaming0–2
WBilibili Gaming2–0
WTYLOO2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

Dragon Ranger Gaming
Nova Esports
45%11 maps · 4 bansWLLLL
Lotus
70%10 maps · 1 bansLLWWL
54%13 maps · 2 bansLWLWL
Haven
50%4 maps · 9 bansWLLW
25%8 maps · 7 bansLLWWL
Split
71%7 maps · 5 bansLLWWW
75%4 maps · 4 bansWWWL
Ascent
56%9 maps · 1 bansWLWWW
17%6 maps · 3 bansLLLWL
Breeze
100%4 maps · 10 bansWWWW
50%4 maps · 1 bansWLWL
Sunset
60%5 maps · 3 bansLWWLW
33%3 maps · 6 bansWLL
Summit
50%4 maps · 5 bansLWLW
0%2 maps · 3 bansLL
Pearl
67%3 maps · 1 bansLWW
0%1 maps · 8 bansL
Fracture
67%3 mapsLWW
–
Abyss
–

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Bracket path

Grand FinalDragon Ranger GamingDragon Ranger Gaming3Nova EsportsNova Esports0This match
Dragon Ranger Gaming won the title
Nova Esports knocked out