XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports (XLG-NOVA) result: VCT China Stage 2 2026, 20 Aug 2026

50.2%Win probability before the match49.8%
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VCT China Stage 2 2026 · Lower bracket quarterfinal 1XLG GamingXLG GamingXLG GamingNova EsportsNova EsportsNova EsportsVS
REPLAYYouTube · VALORANT Champions Tour CN · ZH

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XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Split40 min▶
XLG GamingViper · Neon · Waylay · Omen · Skye
13
Atk8:4Def5:2
Nova EsportsDeadlock · Skye · Raze · Viper · AstraPICK
6
MAP 2Lotus39 min▶
XLG GamingCypher · Waylay · Neon · Omen · FadePICK
5
Def2:10Atk3:3
Nova EsportsFade · Vyse · Raze · Viper · Omen
13
MAP 3Breezedecider34 min▶
XLG GamingViper · Phoenix · Jett · Omen · Sova
3
Def1:11Atk2:2
Nova EsportsSova · Phoenix · Neon · Viper · Harbor
13

Player scoreboard

XLG Gaming
PlayerACSKDA+/–KASTADRHS%FKFD
NoManWaylay30021132+8–––––
WsLeoSkye27116810+8–––––
LysoarOmen21818125+6–––––
RargaNeon17113153-2–––––
happyweiViper16612133-1–––––
Nova Esports
PlayerACSKDA+/–KASTADRHS%FKFD
GuanGViper25717143+3–––––
cbSkye21713159-2–––––
swagzorRaze21614183-4–––––
qiutiaNDeadlock1518177-9–––––
EzeirAstra1318167-8–––––

Map veto

  1. Nova Esports banned Summit
  2. XLG Gaming banned Ascent
  3. Nova Esports picked Split
  4. XLG Gaming picked Lotus
  5. Nova Esports banned Haven
  6. XLG Gaming banned Sunset
  7. Breeze left as decider

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating1 Elo point separates XLG Gaming (1468) and Nova Esports (1467).
  • Head-to-headXLG Gaming 5-1 Nova Esports in 6 meetings since 2024. XLG Gaming took the previous meeting 2-0 at VCT China Stage 1 2026 (). More
  • FormXLG Gaming won 5 of their last 10; Nova Esports won 9 of 10. Nova Esports are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (50% for the side it leaned to); Nova Esports took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports: rosters

XLG GamingElo: #45
happywei
Lysoar
Rarga
happywei
happyweiProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
31%Win rate0%
13Matches, 12 months2
3/10Last 10 matches0/2
lost 4Current streaklost 2
185ACS200
0.94K/D1.02
22Age22
09/2024On the team since02/2024
Nova EsportsElo: #37

Settings, ACS, K/D, KAST, ADR source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

XLG GamingTeamNova Esports
53% (64-56)Map win rate52% (40-37)
14-9Deciding maps won–lost8-3
40%Series wins without dropping a map53%
46 minAverage map length45 min
51%Attack-side rounds won52%
50%First half won45%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports: meetings before this one

6 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to XLG Gaming ()

All 6 meetings

XLG Gaming and Nova Esports: form going into the match

XLG Gaming · 5 of 10 wonNova Esports · 9 of 10 wonWonLost
138814211454148714681467138814211454148714681467
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LBilibili Gaming1–2
WAll Gamers2–1
WTYLOO2–0
WWolves Esports2–1
LBilibili Gaming1–2
WAll Gamers2–0
WDragon Ranger Gaming2–0
LTEC Esports1–2
LG2 Esports0–2
LGentle Mates1–2
WTEC Esports2–0
LJD Gaming0–2
WBilibili Gaming2–0
WTYLOO2–0
WEDward Gaming2–0
WTrace Esports2–1
WJD Gaming2–1
WFunPlus Phoenix2–0
WTEC Esports3–2
WTYLOO2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

XLG Gaming
Nova Esports
48%23 maps · 1 bansLLWWL
Lotus
78%9 maps · 1 bansWLWWW
62%13 maps · 6 bansWLWLW
Split
63%8 maps · 5 bansLWWWW
47%15 maps · 10 bansLLWWL
Haven
20%5 maps · 8 bansLLWLL
57%14 maps · 3 bansWWLLW
Breeze
50%6 maps · 13 bansWWWLL
67%3 maps · 12 bansWWL
Ascent
57%7 maps · 1 bansWWWWL
75%4 maps · 7 bansLWWW
Fracture
60%5 maps · 3 bansLWWWL
40%5 maps · 11 bansWLWLL
Pearl
67%3 maps · 2 bansLWW
75%4 maps · 2 bansLWWW
Summit
67%3 maps · 4 bansWLW
100%5 mapsWWWWW
Bind
0%1 maps · 2 bansL
100%1 maps · 8 bansW
Sunset
75%4 maps · 2 bansWWLW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA